Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26.9 (25.6-28.2) | 33.8 (33.0-34.5) | 41.5 (40.9-42.1) | 49.6 (48.4-50.8) | 57.5 (55.6-59.4) |
| Males | 24.5 (22.8-26.2) | 31.6 (30.5-32.6) | 39.7 (38.9-40.6) | 48.5 (46.8-50.1) | 57.0 (54.2-59.6) |
| Females | 29.2 (27.4-30.9) | 35.9 (34.8-36.9) | 43.3 (42.5-44.1) | 50.9 (49.4-52.6) | 58.3 (55.8-61.0) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 26.8 (25.4-28.1) | 33.7 (32.8-34.4) | 41.4 (40.8-42.1) | 49.5 (48.3-50.8) | 57.4 (55.6-59.4) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 40.4 (32.2-48.8) | 44.4 (39.6-49.0) | 48.8 (45.9-51.9) | 53.3 (47.0-59.3) | 57.5 (47.5-67.1) |
| Hispanic | 20.3 (13.3-28.8) | 28.2 (23.1-33.3) | 38.1 (33.5-42.3) | 48.8 (38.7-57.9) | 58.5 (43.1-71.8) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 25.6 (18.6-33.3) | 32.2 (27.9-36.4) | 40.0 (37.1-42.9) | 48.1 (41.5-54.6) | 55.6 (44.7-65.6) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 28.6 (26.6-30.7) | 35.3 (34.1-36.5) | 43.0 (41.9-44.0) | 51.1 (49.1-53.2) | 59.0 (56.0-62.0) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 27.1 (25.3-29.0) | 34.5 (33.4-35.7) | 43.0 (42.1-43.9) | 51.8 (50.1-53.7) | 60.2 (57.4-63.0) |
| Income: $50k or more | 23.0 (20.6-25.4) | 31.2 (29.6-32.7) | 40.8 (39.8-41.8) | 50.9 (48.9-53.0) | 60.5 (57.2-63.8) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10.2 (9.4-11.1) | 14.3 (13.7-14.9) | 19.3 (18.8-19.8) | 24.9 (23.7-26.0) | 30.8 (28.7-32.8) |
| Males | 7.5 (6.5-8.6) | 11.0 (10.3-11.8) | 15.6 (15.0-16.2) | 21.0 (19.5-22.6) | 27.0 (24.1-29.9) |
| Females | 12.8 (11.5-14.2) | 17.5 (16.6-18.3) | 23.0 (22.3-23.7) | 29.1 (27.5-30.6) | 35.2 (32.5-37.9) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 10.1 (9.3-11.0) | 14.2 (13.6-14.8) | 19.1 (18.6-19.7) | 24.8 (23.6-26.0) | 30.7 (28.6-32.7) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 17.3 (11.9-23.5) | 21.0 (17.6-24.6) | 25.1 (22.7-27.7) | 29.4 (24.1-35.1) | 33.7 (24.8-42.8) |
| Hispanic | 8.6 (4.1-14.4) | 12.3 (8.9-16.0) | 17.3 (13.9-20.8) | 23.0 (15.3-30.8) | 28.4 (15.8-42.0) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 10.4 (6.4-15.2) | 14.4 (11.8-17.3) | 19.3 (16.9-21.7) | 24.8 (19.3-31.1) | 30.3 (20.9-40.6) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 11.6 (10.2-13.0) | 16.6 (15.6-17.6) | 22.8 (21.9-23.7) | 29.8 (27.9-31.7) | 36.9 (33.8-40.1) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 10.0 (8.7-11.2) | 14.5 (13.6-15.3) | 20.2 (19.4-20.9) | 26.6 (24.9-28.4) | 33.3 (30.4-36.4) |
| Income: $50k or more | 7.7 (6.3-9.1) | 11.6 (10.5-12.6) | 16.7 (15.9-17.5) | 22.7 (20.9-24.5) | 28.9 (25.5-32.3) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301