Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23.5 (22.1-25.1) | 26.2 (25.4-27.1) | 29.1 (28.4-29.8) | 32.1 (30.7-33.6) | 35.3 (33.0-37.8) |
| Males | 15.3 (13.4-17.2) | 18.7 (17.5-19.9) | 22.7 (21.8-23.7) | 27.3 (25.5-29.5) | 32.3 (29.1-36.3) |
| Females | 30.9 (28.8-33.3) | 32.9 (31.7-34.1) | 34.9 (34.0-35.8) | 37.0 (35.1-38.8) | 39.0 (35.9-42.2) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 9.1 (7.5-10.7) | 11.1 (10.1-12.1) | 13.7 (13.0-14.4) | 16.8 (15.1-18.7) | 20.6 (17.2-24.2) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 30.8 (28.8-33.0) | 37.1 (35.9-38.3) | 43.9 (42.8-44.9) | 50.9 (48.7-53.1) | 57.7 (54.5-61.1) |
| Hispanic | 13.6 (9.1-18.9) | 18.1 (15.0-21.5) | 23.9 (21.2-26.3) | 30.9 (24.6-37.7) | 38.6 (27.1-50.0) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 11.4 (6.9-16.9) | 15.5 (12.3-18.8) | 21.6 (19.2-23.8) | 29.6 (23.4-36.5) | 38.8 (26.8-51.7) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 27.3 (24.2-30.6) | 34.2 (32.3-36.0) | 41.9 (40.2-43.7) | 50.1 (46.8-53.5) | 58.0 (52.6-63.1) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 21.8 (19.6-24.1) | 28.5 (27.1-29.8) | 36.3 (34.9-37.8) | 44.9 (42.0-48.0) | 53.6 (49.1-58.5) |
| Income: $50k or more | 19.5 (16.9-22.2) | 20.3 (18.8-21.8) | 21.2 (20.5-22.0) | 22.3 (20.6-24.1) | 23.3 (20.2-26.8) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10.0 (9.1-11.1) | 11.6 (11.0-12.2) | 13.3 (12.8-13.8) | 15.2 (14.1-16.4) | 17.3 (15.2-19.3) |
| Males | 5.1 (4.1-6.3) | 6.3 (5.6-7.1) | 7.8 (7.2-8.4) | 9.4 (8.1-10.8) | 11.3 (8.9-13.9) |
| Females | 14.3 (12.8-16.2) | 16.3 (15.3-17.3) | 18.5 (17.7-19.2) | 20.8 (19.1-22.5) | 23.1 (20.3-26.1) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 2.1 (1.6-2.7) | 3.0 (2.6-3.4) | 4.2 (3.8-4.6) | 5.8 (4.7-7.1) | 8.1 (5.7-10.9) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 13.9 (12.3-15.5) | 17.8 (16.8-18.8) | 22.3 (21.4-23.2) | 27.2 (25.3-29.2) | 32.2 (29.0-35.6) |
| Hispanic | 5.1 (2.8-8.0) | 6.5 (4.8-8.2) | 8.3 (6.7-9.9) | 10.4 (6.8-15.2) | 12.9 (6.4-22.1) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 3.9 (1.8-7.3) | 6.2 (4.2-8.5) | 9.9 (8.3-11.6) | 15.2 (10.2-21.0) | 21.7 (11.4-33.7) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 12.8 (10.6-15.4) | 17.4 (15.8-18.9) | 22.8 (21.3-24.4) | 28.9 (25.7-32.1) | 34.9 (29.7-40.1) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 8.4 (7.1-9.8) | 12.2 (11.3-13.2) | 17.2 (16.1-18.4) | 23.1 (20.5-25.6) | 29.4 (25.1-33.8) |
| Income: $50k or more | 8.2 (6.5-10.1) | 8.2 (7.3-9.1) | 8.2 (7.7-8.7) | 8.2 (7.1-9.4) | 8.2 (6.3-10.4) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301