Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20.0 (18.9-21.2) | 25.0 (24.3-25.7) | 30.7 (30.2-31.2) | 37.0 (35.8-38.3) | 43.6 (41.5-45.8) |
| Males | 18.6 (17.1-20.1) | 23.6 (22.6-24.6) | 29.5 (28.8-30.3) | 36.2 (34.5-37.9) | 43.1 (40.2-46.1) |
| Females | 21.5 (20.0-22.9) | 26.3 (25.4-27.1) | 31.9 (31.2-32.6) | 37.9 (36.4-39.5) | 44.2 (41.7-47.0) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 19.9 (18.7-21.1) | 24.9 (24.2-25.6) | 30.7 (30.1-31.2) | 37.1 (35.8-38.3) | 43.7 (41.6-45.9) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 40.4 (18.7-63.0) | 36.3 (23.8-49.0) | 32.3 (25.7-39.0) | 29.5 (18.0-43.9) | 28.1 (11.4-51.1) |
| Hispanic | 21.3 (14.0-30.3) | 24.8 (20.3-29.4) | 29.4 (25.2-33.5) | 34.8 (26.1-44.2) | 40.2 (25.6-55.1) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 20.6 (14.8-27.2) | 25.5 (21.8-29.4) | 31.2 (28.8-33.5) | 37.6 (31.9-43.3) | 44.2 (34.3-54.5) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 23.0 (20.8-25.1) | 29.1 (27.7-30.4) | 36.4 (35.1-37.5) | 44.5 (41.9-46.9) | 52.6 (48.4-56.5) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 19.6 (18.2-21.3) | 25.9 (25.0-26.9) | 33.4 (32.6-34.2) | 41.6 (39.8-43.4) | 49.9 (46.9-52.7) |
| Income: $50k or more | 17.6 (15.9-19.3) | 22.2 (21.1-23.2) | 27.6 (26.9-28.4) | 34.0 (32.4-35.7) | 41.0 (37.9-44.2) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6.9 (6.3-7.7) | 9.5 (9.0-9.9) | 12.7 (12.3-13.1) | 16.5 (15.5-17.5) | 20.7 (18.9-22.7) |
| Males | 5.1 (4.4-5.9) | 7.3 (6.8-7.8) | 10.1 (9.6-10.6) | 13.7 (12.4-14.9) | 17.8 (15.4-20.2) |
| Females | 8.8 (7.8-9.8) | 11.7 (11.1-12.3) | 15.2 (14.7-15.8) | 19.4 (18.1-20.7) | 23.9 (21.5-26.4) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 6.9 (6.2-7.5) | 9.4 (8.9-9.8) | 12.6 (12.2-13.0) | 16.4 (15.4-17.4) | 20.6 (18.8-22.6) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 14.0 (3.9-29.9) | 14.1 (7.4-22.5) | 14.4 (9.7-19.3) | 14.8 (6.9-25.6) | 15.5 (4.2-34.1) |
| Hispanic | 7.7 (3.6-13.7) | 10.8 (7.6-14.3) | 15.1 (12.3-18.1) | 20.4 (13.2-29.4) | 25.9 (13.1-41.5) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 9.7 (6.2-14.5) | 11.8 (9.5-14.5) | 14.3 (12.7-16.0) | 17.0 (12.9-21.8) | 19.7 (12.5-28.6) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 8.4 (7.1-9.8) | 12.6 (11.7-13.6) | 18.3 (17.3-19.3) | 25.1 (22.8-27.5) | 32.3 (28.4-36.4) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 7.3 (6.4-8.3) | 10.4 (9.8-11.1) | 14.5 (13.9-15.1) | 19.3 (17.7-20.8) | 24.5 (21.7-27.4) |
| Income: $50k or more | 4.5 (3.7-5.4) | 6.7 (6.1-7.3) | 9.8 (9.4-10.3) | 13.9 (12.6-15.4) | 18.9 (16.1-21.8) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301