Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20.9 (19.6-22.2) | 26.3 (25.5-27.1) | 32.6 (32.0-33.1) | 39.5 (38.2-40.6) | 46.6 (44.4-48.6) |
| Males | 18.8 (17.2-20.5) | 24.8 (23.7-25.9) | 32.1 (31.3-32.8) | 40.1 (38.4-41.8) | 48.6 (45.6-51.6) |
| Females | 23.0 (21.3-24.8) | 27.7 (26.7-28.7) | 33.1 (32.4-33.7) | 38.9 (37.3-40.4) | 44.8 (42.0-47.4) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 19.4 (18.1-20.8) | 25.0 (24.1-25.8) | 31.5 (30.9-32.1) | 38.8 (37.3-40.3) | 46.5 (43.9-48.9) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 36.5 (32.0-41.2) | 40.8 (38.4-43.2) | 45.3 (44.1-46.6) | 49.8 (46.7-53.1) | 54.3 (48.6-59.9) |
| Hispanic | 20.5 (17.4-23.8) | 27.6 (25.7-29.8) | 36.2 (35.0-37.5) | 45.5 (42.6-48.4) | 54.3 (49.4-59.2) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 13.5 (9.5-19.0) | 15.3 (12.8-18.1) | 17.5 (16.4-18.8) | 20.3 (17.1-23.6) | 23.5 (17.5-30.3) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 30.7 (26.7-34.9) | 34.9 (32.7-37.0) | 39.5 (38.3-40.8) | 44.4 (41.2-47.5) | 49.3 (43.9-54.7) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 21.2 (19.2-23.5) | 28.2 (27.0-29.6) | 36.6 (35.7-37.5) | 45.6 (43.6-47.7) | 54.6 (51.1-58.0) |
| Income: $50k or more | 17.4 (15.8-19.2) | 23.2 (22.1-24.3) | 30.2 (29.5-30.9) | 38.3 (36.6-40.0) | 46.8 (43.8-49.8) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6.8 (6.1-7.5) | 9.5 (9.0-10.0) | 12.9 (12.5-13.3) | 17.1 (16.1-18.0) | 21.7 (19.8-23.5) |
| Males | 5.0 (4.2-5.9) | 7.5 (6.8-8.1) | 10.8 (10.4-11.3) | 15.0 (13.6-16.4) | 19.9 (17.2-22.7) |
| Females | 8.6 (7.6-9.6) | 11.5 (10.8-12.1) | 15.1 (14.5-15.6) | 19.2 (18.0-20.6) | 23.8 (21.4-26.2) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 6.1 (5.4-6.8) | 8.7 (8.2-9.2) | 12.1 (11.7-12.5) | 16.3 (15.2-17.4) | 21.0 (18.8-23.3) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 15.6 (12.3-19.4) | 18.3 (16.5-20.4) | 21.3 (20.2-22.4) | 24.4 (21.6-27.3) | 27.6 (22.2-32.9) |
| Hispanic | 6.2 (4.8-7.9) | 9.6 (8.5-10.9) | 14.4 (13.5-15.2) | 20.2 (17.8-22.6) | 26.4 (21.7-31.0) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 3.0 (2.0-4.2) | 4.1 (3.3-4.9) | 5.6 (5.0-6.2) | 7.6 (6.0-9.4) | 10.0 (6.8-14.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 11.3 (9.1-13.8) | 14.5 (13.1-15.9) | 18.3 (17.3-19.3) | 22.5 (20.1-25.0) | 27.0 (22.4-31.9) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 7.6 (6.4-8.8) | 11.1 (10.2-11.9) | 15.6 (15.0-16.3) | 21.0 (19.2-22.7) | 26.7 (23.4-29.8) |
| Income: $50k or more | 4.8 (4.1-5.6) | 7.4 (6.8-8.0) | 11.0 (10.5-11.5) | 15.7 (14.4-17.0) | 21.1 (18.7-23.9) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301