Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 28.1 (26.6-29.5) | 34.9 (34.1-35.7) | 42.6 (41.9-43.2) | 50.5 (49.2-51.7) | 58.2 (56.0-60.2) |
Males | 24.6 (22.6-26.6) | 31.0 (29.8-32.3) | 38.4 (37.5-39.3) | 46.4 (44.3-48.1) | 54.3 (51.1-57.2) |
Females | 31.4 (29.5-33.2) | 38.6 (37.6-39.7) | 46.6 (45.8-47.3) | 54.6 (52.9-56.2) | 62.0 (59.3-64.6) |
White, non-Hispanic | 22.6 (21.1-24.1) | 29.7 (28.8-30.6) | 38.0 (37.3-38.7) | 47.0 (45.5-48.7) | 56.0 (53.5-58.5) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 41.5 (38.5-44.5) | 46.6 (45.0-48.2) | 51.8 (50.8-52.7) | 57.0 (54.8-59.2) | 61.9 (58.4-65.4) |
Hispanic | 23.2 (15.5-31.9) | 28.4 (23.5-33.3) | 34.6 (30.1-39.3) | 41.2 (31.9-51.1) | 47.2 (32.8-62.7) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 25.2 (16.2-36.6) | 30.3 (24.9-36.5) | 36.4 (33.0-39.7) | 43.1 (34.3-51.6) | 49.4 (34.8-63.6) |
Income: Less than $20k | 32.9 (30.4-35.5) | 40.0 (38.6-41.4) | 47.9 (46.9-48.9) | 55.9 (53.9-58.0) | 63.4 (60.1-66.5) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 26.6 (24.5-28.8) | 34.6 (33.3-35.8) | 43.8 (42.8-44.7) | 53.3 (51.2-55.4) | 62.3 (59.1-65.3) |
Income: $50k or more | 22.2 (19.7-24.8) | 30.0 (28.5-31.6) | 39.3 (38.3-40.3) | 49.3 (46.8-51.5) | 58.8 (55.0-62.6) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 11.3 (10.4-12.3) | 15.5 (14.9-16.1) | 20.5 (19.9-21.0) | 26.0 (24.7-27.3) | 31.7 (29.5-33.9) |
Males | 7.9 (6.8-9.2) | 11.0 (10.3-11.9) | 15.0 (14.3-15.6) | 19.6 (17.8-21.3) | 24.6 (21.4-28.0) |
Females | 14.5 (13.1-16.0) | 19.7 (18.8-20.6) | 25.8 (25.1-26.5) | 32.2 (30.6-33.8) | 38.6 (35.9-41.2) |
White, non-Hispanic | 7.9 (7.1-8.7) | 11.7 (11.1-12.3) | 16.6 (16.1-17.2) | 22.5 (21.1-23.9) | 28.8 (26.2-31.3) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 19.9 (17.7-22.4) | 23.9 (22.6-25.3) | 28.1 (27.2-29.1) | 32.5 (30.4-34.7) | 36.9 (33.3-40.6) |
Hispanic | 7.1 (3.5-12.3) | 10.0 (7.2-13.1) | 14.1 (11.1-17.2) | 19.0 (11.6-27.4) | 24.1 (11.4-38.1) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 12.9 (6.6-22.3) | 14.6 (10.6-19.2) | 16.4 (14.1-19.0) | 18.3 (11.9-25.4) | 20.0 (9.5-32.6) |
Income: Less than $20k | 14.4 (12.7-16.3) | 20.3 (19.1-21.5) | 27.3 (26.4-28.3) | 34.9 (32.6-37.1) | 42.3 (38.4-45.9) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 9.9 (8.7-11.2) | 14.8 (13.9-15.7) | 21.0 (20.1-21.7) | 28.0 (26.1-29.9) | 35.1 (31.8-38.3) |
Income: $50k or more | 7.4 (6.0-8.9) | 11.0 (10.0-12.1) | 15.8 (15.0-16.5) | 21.4 (19.4-23.4) | 27.3 (23.3-31.1) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301