Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 22.3 (21.2-23.3) 28.3 (27.6-28.9) 35.1 (34.5-35.7) 42.5 (41.3-43.8) 50.0 (48.1-52.0)
Males 19.4 (18.0-20.8) 25.3 (24.4-26.2) 32.3 (31.5-33.0) 40.0 (38.4-41.7) 48.0 (45.4-50.8)
Females 25.1 (23.7-26.7) 31.1 (30.3-32.0) 37.9 (37.2-38.6) 45.1 (43.6-46.5) 52.1 (49.7-54.5)
White, non-Hispanic 19.7 (18.6-20.8) 25.6 (24.9-26.3) 32.6 (32.0-33.2) 40.3 (39.1-41.6) 48.3 (46.2-50.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 32.4 (30.2-34.8) 38.7 (37.3-40.0) 45.3 (44.4-46.3) 52.1 (50.1-54.0) 58.5 (55.4-61.6)
Hispanic 18.2 (13.7-23.5) 24.6 (21.4-27.9) 32.3 (30.2-34.4) 40.7 (36.0-45.1) 48.9 (40.7-56.3)
Other, non-Hispanic 16.6 (13.2-20.5) 18.7 (16.5-21.0) 21.2 (19.8-22.7) 24.2 (21.1-27.4) 27.8 (22.1-33.7)
Income: Less than $20k 29.6 (26.8-32.3) 35.2 (33.5-36.7) 41.2 (39.6-42.8) 47.4 (44.4-50.4) 53.6 (48.9-58.2)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.3 (20.8-23.8) 30.0 (29.0-30.9) 39.0 (38.1-40.0) 48.8 (46.9-50.8) 58.3 (55.3-61.1)
Income: $50k or more 20.3 (18.9-21.7) 26.3 (25.4-27.2) 33.4 (32.7-34.0) 41.1 (39.6-42.6) 49.0 (46.4-51.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.2 (7.6-8.9) 11.4 (10.9-11.8) 15.2 (14.8-15.7) 19.7 (18.7-20.9) 24.6 (22.8-26.6)
Males 5.7 (4.9-6.4) 8.1 (7.6-8.6) 11.3 (10.8-11.8) 15.2 (14.1-16.5) 19.7 (17.5-22.1)
Females 10.8 (9.7-11.8) 14.5 (13.8-15.3) 19.0 (18.4-19.7) 24.1 (22.7-25.5) 29.4 (27.0-31.9)
White, non-Hispanic 6.7 (6.1-7.4) 9.7 (9.3-10.2) 13.6 (13.2-14.1) 18.3 (17.2-19.6) 23.5 (21.5-25.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 13.9 (12.3-15.6) 17.6 (16.6-18.6) 21.7 (20.9-22.6) 26.1 (24.4-28.1) 30.5 (27.6-33.8)
Hispanic 6.5 (4.1-9.5) 8.7 (6.9-10.5) 11.3 (9.9-12.6) 14.3 (11.1-17.8) 17.4 (11.6-24.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 4.7 (3.2-6.6) 6.1 (4.9-7.5) 8.1 (7.2-9.0) 10.5 (8.4-12.8) 13.5 (9.4-18.5)
Income: Less than $20k 13.6 (11.7-15.7) 17.3 (16.0-18.6) 21.5 (20.3-22.8) 26.1 (23.5-28.8) 30.9 (26.2-35.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.1 (7.2-9.1) 12.3 (11.7-13.0) 17.9 (17.2-18.7) 24.5 (22.7-26.3) 31.3 (28.2-34.3)
Income: $50k or more 6.8 (5.9-7.6) 9.6 (9.0-10.2) 13.3 (12.8-13.8) 17.7 (16.5-18.9) 22.5 (20.2-24.9)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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