Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 21.8 (20.5-23.2) 27.9 (27.1-28.7) 34.9 (34.3-35.5) 42.5 (41.3-43.8) 50.3 (48.1-52.6)
Males 19.9 (18.1-22.0) 26.0 (24.8-27.2) 33.1 (32.4-34.0) 41.1 (39.5-42.9) 49.4 (46.3-52.5)
Females 23.7 (21.8-25.6) 29.8 (28.6-30.9) 36.6 (35.9-37.3) 43.9 (42.3-45.5) 51.3 (48.5-54.0)
White, non-Hispanic 21.9 (20.6-23.3) 27.9 (27.1-28.8) 34.9 (34.3-35.5) 42.5 (41.2-43.9) 50.3 (48.1-52.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 14.5 (4.6-30.1) 21.9 (12.4-34.1) 34.2 (27.8-41.1) 47.6 (33.6-62.4) 57.0 (34.4-77.1)
Hispanic 22.7 (13.8-33.6) 27.1 (21.4-33.2) 32.9 (28.8-37.0) 39.6 (31.1-48.4) 46.2 (31.7-60.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 19.7 (12.6-27.7) 26.3 (21.2-31.3) 34.8 (32.3-37.3) 44.3 (37.7-50.5) 53.4 (41.8-64.1)
Income: Less than $20k 23.4 (21.0-26.0) 31.4 (29.8-33.0) 40.9 (39.8-41.9) 51.0 (48.6-53.4) 60.7 (56.8-64.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.2 (20.3-24.3) 29.0 (27.9-30.3) 37.0 (36.2-37.8) 45.7 (43.8-47.5) 54.3 (51.1-57.4)
Income: $50k or more 20.0 (17.6-22.5) 25.3 (23.7-26.8) 31.6 (30.8-32.4) 38.8 (36.9-40.8) 46.4 (42.7-50.1)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 7.7 (6.9-8.6) 10.8 (10.2-11.4) 14.7 (14.3-15.2) 19.2 (18.2-20.4) 24.2 (22.1-26.4)
Males 5.5 (4.6-6.5) 8.1 (7.4-8.9) 11.6 (11.1-12.1) 15.9 (14.6-17.3) 20.9 (18.2-23.7)
Females 10.0 (8.7-11.3) 13.5 (12.6-14.4) 17.7 (17.2-18.4) 22.6 (21.1-24.1) 27.7 (25.0-30.3)
White, non-Hispanic 7.6 (6.8-8.6) 10.7 (10.1-11.4) 14.6 (14.2-15.1) 19.3 (18.1-20.4) 24.4 (22.2-26.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 7.7 (1.5-21.3) 11.3 (5.1-20.2) 17.1 (11.8-23.0) 23.2 (11.2-37.1) 27.3 (8.7-49.1)
Hispanic 11.8 (5.6-21.1) 12.2 (8.4-16.8) 12.6 (10.2-15.1) 13.0 (8.0-19.2) 13.3 (5.5-24.6)
Other, non-Hispanic 10.8 (6.0-17.9) 13.4 (10.1-17.5) 16.3 (14.6-18.1) 19.1 (14.6-24.1) 21.6 (13.2-31.6)
Income: Less than $20k 9.7 (8.1-11.5) 14.4 (13.2-15.7) 20.6 (19.7-21.5) 27.5 (25.4-29.7) 34.6 (30.8-38.3)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.8 (6.6-9.0) 11.4 (10.6-12.3) 16.2 (15.6-16.8) 21.9 (20.2-23.6) 28.1 (24.8-31.2)
Income: $50k or more 5.4 (4.3-6.6) 7.9 (7.0-8.8) 11.3 (10.8-11.8) 15.7 (14.3-17.2) 20.8 (17.6-24.2)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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