Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24.2 (23.0-25.4) | 30.2 (29.4-30.9) | 37.1 (36.5-37.7) | 44.5 (43.3-45.8) | 52.0 (50.0-54.0) |
| Males | 22.7 (21.1-24.4) | 28.9 (27.9-30.0) | 36.3 (35.4-37.0) | 44.3 (42.8-45.9) | 52.6 (49.8-55.2) |
| Females | 25.8 (24.2-27.4) | 31.5 (30.5-32.5) | 38.0 (37.3-38.7) | 44.9 (43.3-46.4) | 51.9 (49.2-54.4) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 24.2 (23.0-25.5) | 30.3 (29.5-31.0) | 37.2 (36.6-37.8) | 44.7 (43.4-45.9) | 52.2 (50.2-54.2) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 35.0 (24.9-46.1) | 39.0 (33.1-45.1) | 43.9 (40.0-47.8) | 49.3 (41.6-57.2) | 54.6 (41.5-66.9) |
| Hispanic | 21.1 (15.1-28.0) | 28.5 (24.1-32.9) | 37.2 (34.5-40.1) | 45.7 (40.0-51.8) | 52.6 (43.0-62.5) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 16.3 (10.4-24.1) | 21.3 (17.3-26.1) | 27.9 (25.2-30.6) | 35.9 (28.7-42.9) | 44.3 (31.5-56.7) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 25.8 (23.6-28.2) | 33.0 (31.6-34.3) | 41.5 (40.2-42.7) | 50.6 (48.0-53.2) | 59.5 (55.4-63.3) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 24.5 (22.8-26.1) | 31.3 (30.3-32.4) | 39.4 (38.5-40.2) | 48.0 (46.2-49.7) | 56.6 (53.7-59.2) |
| Income: $50k or more | 22.1 (20.1-24.4) | 28.3 (27.0-29.6) | 35.6 (34.8-36.4) | 43.8 (41.9-45.5) | 52.2 (48.9-55.2) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8.3 (7.5-9.1) | 11.7 (11.1-12.2) | 15.9 (15.5-16.4) | 21.0 (19.9-22.1) | 26.4 (24.4-28.5) |
| Males | 5.9 (5.1-6.8) | 9.1 (8.4-9.7) | 13.3 (12.8-13.9) | 18.7 (17.3-20.1) | 24.8 (22.0-27.7) |
| Females | 10.7 (9.5-11.9) | 14.3 (13.5-15.1) | 18.6 (18.0-19.3) | 23.5 (22.1-25.1) | 28.8 (26.1-31.5) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 8.3 (7.5-9.1) | 11.7 (11.1-12.2) | 15.9 (15.4-16.3) | 20.8 (19.7-21.9) | 26.1 (24.1-28.2) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 13.3 (7.4-20.3) | 17.9 (13.8-22.0) | 23.6 (20.5-26.7) | 30.0 (23.0-37.6) | 36.4 (24.2-48.9) |
| Hispanic | 8.1 (4.7-12.4) | 11.9 (9.3-14.9) | 16.8 (14.6-19.0) | 22.1 (17.5-27.6) | 26.8 (18.5-36.2) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 6.3 (2.8-11.4) | 8.9 (6.0-12.0) | 12.5 (10.5-14.6) | 17.2 (11.9-23.0) | 22.6 (12.0-34.4) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 9.8 (8.2-11.2) | 14.8 (13.7-15.9) | 21.4 (20.3-22.5) | 29.1 (26.7-31.5) | 36.9 (33.0-40.8) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 8.3 (7.3-9.4) | 12.3 (11.6-13.0) | 17.6 (16.9-18.2) | 23.8 (22.1-25.3) | 30.5 (27.6-33.2) |
| Income: $50k or more | 6.2 (5.2-7.3) | 9.5 (8.7-10.3) | 13.9 (13.4-14.5) | 19.5 (18.0-21.0) | 25.8 (22.8-29.0) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301