Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25.7 (24.3-26.9) | 31.4 (30.6-32.2) | 37.8 (37.2-38.4) | 44.7 (43.5-45.9) | 51.6 (49.7-53.6) |
| Males | 23.1 (21.4-24.8) | 28.8 (27.8-30.0) | 35.6 (34.9-36.4) | 43.0 (41.5-44.7) | 50.7 (48.1-53.5) |
| Females | 28.3 (26.6-29.9) | 33.9 (32.9-34.9) | 40.1 (39.3-40.8) | 46.5 (45.0-48.2) | 52.9 (50.3-55.4) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 24.7 (23.4-26.0) | 30.6 (29.7-31.4) | 37.2 (36.6-37.8) | 44.3 (43.1-45.5) | 51.4 (49.5-53.6) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 41.3 (36.4-46.5) | 44.5 (41.9-47.4) | 47.9 (46.1-49.7) | 51.3 (47.6-55.0) | 54.8 (48.4-60.9) |
| Hispanic | 29.2 (22.4-36.6) | 33.4 (29.4-37.4) | 37.9 (35.6-40.2) | 42.8 (37.6-48.6) | 47.7 (38.6-57.0) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 24.2 (17.4-31.9) | 27.6 (23.8-31.5) | 32.0 (29.7-34.5) | 37.2 (32.0-42.6) | 42.9 (33.5-52.3) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 29.9 (27.4-32.7) | 35.8 (34.4-37.5) | 42.5 (41.4-43.7) | 49.7 (47.2-51.9) | 56.6 (52.7-60.1) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 25.7 (23.8-27.6) | 32.4 (31.3-33.6) | 40.0 (39.3-40.9) | 48.1 (46.4-49.9) | 55.9 (53.1-58.6) |
| Income: $50k or more | 23.9 (21.8-25.9) | 29.4 (28.1-30.7) | 35.7 (34.8-36.5) | 42.5 (40.8-44.3) | 49.6 (46.4-52.8) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9.7 (8.8-10.6) | 13.1 (12.5-13.7) | 17.2 (16.7-17.7) | 21.9 (20.8-23.0) | 26.9 (24.8-29.0) |
| Males | 6.7 (5.7-7.8) | 9.7 (9.0-10.4) | 13.7 (13.1-14.2) | 18.5 (17.1-19.9) | 24.1 (21.2-26.9) |
| Females | 12.7 (11.4-14.1) | 16.4 (15.6-17.3) | 20.7 (20.1-21.3) | 25.5 (24.0-26.9) | 30.3 (27.8-32.8) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 9.3 (8.4-10.2) | 12.6 (12.0-13.2) | 16.7 (16.2-17.2) | 21.5 (20.3-22.6) | 26.5 (24.3-28.7) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 18.6 (14.9-22.6) | 21.8 (19.7-24.0) | 25.2 (23.8-26.7) | 28.9 (25.6-32.2) | 32.7 (26.9-38.4) |
| Hispanic | 10.7 (6.8-15.5) | 12.7 (10.2-15.3) | 14.9 (13.3-16.5) | 17.4 (13.5-21.8) | 20.1 (13.2-28.4) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 7.0 (4.3-10.2) | 10.1 (8.0-12.3) | 14.4 (12.7-16.1) | 19.7 (15.6-24.0) | 25.7 (18.1-34.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 12.3 (10.5-14.4) | 17.1 (15.9-18.5) | 23.0 (22.0-23.9) | 29.5 (27.2-31.7) | 36.3 (32.2-40.0) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 9.9 (8.8-11.3) | 13.9 (13.1-14.7) | 18.7 (18.0-19.4) | 24.2 (22.6-25.9) | 29.9 (27.1-32.9) |
| Income: $50k or more | 7.6 (6.5-8.8) | 10.5 (9.7-11.3) | 14.2 (13.7-14.8) | 18.7 (17.2-20.2) | 23.6 (20.7-26.6) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301