Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23.8 (22.6-25.2) | 29.4 (28.7-30.2) | 35.9 (35.2-36.5) | 42.9 (41.6-44.1) | 50.0 (47.8-52.1) |
| Males | 21.6 (19.8-23.3) | 27.2 (26.1-28.4) | 33.8 (33.0-34.6) | 41.1 (39.2-42.7) | 48.6 (45.3-51.3) |
| Females | 26.0 (24.3-27.7) | 31.6 (30.5-32.6) | 37.9 (37.1-38.7) | 44.7 (43.0-46.5) | 51.6 (48.9-54.5) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 21.8 (20.5-23.1) | 27.5 (26.7-28.4) | 34.2 (33.6-34.8) | 41.5 (40.1-42.8) | 49.0 (46.7-51.2) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 36.8 (33.2-40.4) | 41.9 (39.9-43.8) | 47.5 (45.9-49.1) | 53.4 (50.2-56.8) | 59.2 (54.2-64.3) |
| Hispanic | 27.8 (23.4-32.5) | 33.8 (31.2-36.5) | 40.6 (38.8-42.4) | 47.8 (43.9-51.8) | 54.8 (48.0-61.3) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 16.6 (12.2-21.5) | 17.8 (15.4-20.4) | 19.3 (17.5-21.1) | 21.0 (17.3-25.4) | 23.1 (16.7-31.2) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 27.4 (25.1-29.8) | 34.1 (32.6-35.5) | 41.5 (40.1-42.8) | 49.3 (46.6-51.8) | 56.8 (52.8-60.6) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 25.3 (23.4-27.5) | 31.3 (30.2-32.5) | 38.3 (37.3-39.2) | 45.8 (43.7-47.9) | 53.4 (49.9-56.7) |
| Income: $50k or more | 19.4 (17.6-21.0) | 25.6 (24.5-26.6) | 33.2 (32.4-34.0) | 41.9 (40.3-43.7) | 50.9 (48.1-54.1) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8.3 (7.5-9.1) | 11.5 (11.0-12.0) | 15.5 (15.0-16.0) | 20.3 (19.2-21.5) | 25.5 (23.5-27.7) |
| Males | 6.1 (5.2-7.1) | 8.6 (8.0-9.3) | 11.9 (11.4-12.5) | 16.0 (14.5-17.5) | 20.7 (17.8-23.5) |
| Females | 10.4 (9.4-11.7) | 14.3 (13.6-15.1) | 19.1 (18.4-19.7) | 24.5 (22.9-26.1) | 30.4 (27.5-33.0) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 7.5 (6.8-8.4) | 10.5 (10.0-11.1) | 14.3 (13.8-14.8) | 18.9 (17.6-20.1) | 23.9 (21.6-26.3) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 14.0 (11.8-16.5) | 18.8 (17.3-20.3) | 24.4 (22.9-25.8) | 30.6 (27.5-33.6) | 37.0 (31.8-41.9) |
| Hispanic | 8.7 (6.3-11.5) | 12.2 (10.4-14.1) | 16.7 (15.4-18.1) | 22.0 (18.6-25.6) | 27.7 (21.7-34.1) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 4.6 (2.8-7.0) | 5.5 (4.3-7.0) | 6.7 (5.7-7.9) | 8.2 (5.8-10.7) | 10.0 (5.8-15.2) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 12.1 (10.3-13.9) | 16.1 (14.9-17.4) | 20.9 (19.7-22.0) | 26.1 (23.6-28.7) | 31.5 (27.5-35.7) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 8.5 (7.4-9.6) | 12.3 (11.6-13.1) | 17.3 (16.5-18.1) | 23.3 (21.4-25.2) | 29.7 (26.5-32.9) |
| Income: $50k or more | 5.4 (4.6-6.4) | 8.5 (7.9-9.2) | 12.9 (12.4-13.5) | 18.6 (17.0-20.2) | 25.1 (22.1-28.3) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301