Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 21.5 (19.8-23.0) 27.1 (26.1-28.0) 33.6 (32.9-34.2) 40.8 (39.3-42.4) 48.2 (45.6-50.9)
Males 21.1 (18.9-23.5) 26.1 (24.9-27.5) 32.0 (31.1-32.9) 38.6 (36.5-40.7) 45.5 (41.6-49.3)
Females 21.8 (19.8-23.9) 28.0 (26.8-29.3) 35.3 (34.5-36.1) 43.2 (41.2-45.3) 51.3 (47.7-54.8)
White, non-Hispanic 21.3 (19.6-23.0) 26.7 (25.7-27.7) 32.9 (32.3-33.6) 39.8 (38.3-41.5) 46.9 (44.3-49.7)
Black, non-Hispanic 30.4 (11.9-51.9) 31.8 (20.1-44.0) 36.4 (29.3-43.3) 43.8 (28.0-59.8) 50.6 (25.7-73.5)
Hispanic 25.3 (19.1-31.9) 31.3 (27.6-35.0) 38.4 (35.9-41.2) 46.0 (40.0-52.1) 53.4 (43.6-63.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 24.7 (17.4-34.0) 31.3 (26.9-36.3) 39.1 (36.1-42.3) 47.5 (39.8-55.3) 55.6 (42.4-67.5)
Income: Less than $20k 23.4 (20.0-27.0) 29.3 (27.5-31.1) 36.6 (34.8-38.2) 44.8 (40.9-48.5) 53.1 (46.8-59.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 21.5 (19.2-24.0) 27.6 (26.3-28.9) 34.8 (33.9-35.8) 42.9 (40.3-45.4) 51.2 (46.6-55.5)
Income: $50k or more 20.0 (17.7-22.4) 25.8 (24.4-27.2) 32.6 (31.8-33.5) 40.2 (38.0-42.4) 47.9 (44.1-52.0)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.9 (6.0-7.8) 9.7 (9.1-10.3) 13.3 (12.8-13.8) 17.6 (16.3-18.9) 22.4 (19.8-25.0)
Males 5.3 (4.4-6.4) 7.6 (6.9-8.4) 10.7 (10.1-11.3) 14.6 (13.0-16.2) 19.2 (16.0-22.4)
Females 8.6 (7.3-10.0) 11.9 (11.1-12.8) 16.1 (15.4-16.8) 20.9 (19.1-22.9) 26.1 (22.7-29.8)
White, non-Hispanic 6.8 (5.9-7.7) 9.5 (8.9-10.1) 12.8 (12.4-13.3) 16.9 (15.6-18.2) 21.4 (19.1-24.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 23.4 (6.2-44.7) 20.2 (10.4-30.5) 16.8 (11.9-22.4) 13.9 (5.3-26.1) 11.9 (1.9-30.9)
Hispanic 7.8 (5.0-11.5) 11.5 (9.3-13.8) 16.4 (14.4-18.4) 22.4 (17.1-27.7) 28.7 (19.2-38.6)
Other, non-Hispanic 10.2 (5.1-17.3) 13.3 (9.9-17.1) 17.1 (15.0-19.7) 21.5 (15.4-28.9) 25.9 (14.5-39.2)
Income: Less than $20k 8.0 (6.4-9.8) 12.2 (11.0-13.5) 17.9 (16.6-19.1) 24.8 (21.7-28.2) 32.4 (26.8-38.0)
Income: $20k to $50k 6.7 (5.6-8.1) 10.0 (9.1-10.9) 14.3 (13.6-15.1) 19.6 (17.6-21.9) 25.6 (21.8-29.8)
Income: $50k or more 5.9 (4.8-7.2) 8.4 (7.5-9.2) 11.5 (11.0-12.1) 15.5 (13.9-17.2) 19.9 (16.6-23.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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