Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21.5 (19.8-23.0) | 27.1 (26.1-28.0) | 33.6 (32.9-34.2) | 40.8 (39.3-42.4) | 48.2 (45.6-50.9) |
| Males | 21.1 (18.9-23.5) | 26.1 (24.9-27.5) | 32.0 (31.1-32.9) | 38.6 (36.5-40.7) | 45.5 (41.6-49.3) |
| Females | 21.8 (19.8-23.9) | 28.0 (26.8-29.3) | 35.3 (34.5-36.1) | 43.2 (41.2-45.3) | 51.3 (47.7-54.8) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 21.3 (19.6-23.0) | 26.7 (25.7-27.7) | 32.9 (32.3-33.6) | 39.8 (38.3-41.5) | 46.9 (44.3-49.7) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 30.4 (11.9-51.9) | 31.8 (20.1-44.0) | 36.4 (29.3-43.3) | 43.8 (28.0-59.8) | 50.6 (25.7-73.5) |
| Hispanic | 25.3 (19.1-31.9) | 31.3 (27.6-35.0) | 38.4 (35.9-41.2) | 46.0 (40.0-52.1) | 53.4 (43.6-63.1) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 24.7 (17.4-34.0) | 31.3 (26.9-36.3) | 39.1 (36.1-42.3) | 47.5 (39.8-55.3) | 55.6 (42.4-67.5) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 23.4 (20.0-27.0) | 29.3 (27.5-31.1) | 36.6 (34.8-38.2) | 44.8 (40.9-48.5) | 53.1 (46.8-59.1) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 21.5 (19.2-24.0) | 27.6 (26.3-28.9) | 34.8 (33.9-35.8) | 42.9 (40.3-45.4) | 51.2 (46.6-55.5) |
| Income: $50k or more | 20.0 (17.7-22.4) | 25.8 (24.4-27.2) | 32.6 (31.8-33.5) | 40.2 (38.0-42.4) | 47.9 (44.1-52.0) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6.9 (6.0-7.8) | 9.7 (9.1-10.3) | 13.3 (12.8-13.8) | 17.6 (16.3-18.9) | 22.4 (19.8-25.0) |
| Males | 5.3 (4.4-6.4) | 7.6 (6.9-8.4) | 10.7 (10.1-11.3) | 14.6 (13.0-16.2) | 19.2 (16.0-22.4) |
| Females | 8.6 (7.3-10.0) | 11.9 (11.1-12.8) | 16.1 (15.4-16.8) | 20.9 (19.1-22.9) | 26.1 (22.7-29.8) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 6.8 (5.9-7.7) | 9.5 (8.9-10.1) | 12.8 (12.4-13.3) | 16.9 (15.6-18.2) | 21.4 (19.1-24.0) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 23.4 (6.2-44.7) | 20.2 (10.4-30.5) | 16.8 (11.9-22.4) | 13.9 (5.3-26.1) | 11.9 (1.9-30.9) |
| Hispanic | 7.8 (5.0-11.5) | 11.5 (9.3-13.8) | 16.4 (14.4-18.4) | 22.4 (17.1-27.7) | 28.7 (19.2-38.6) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 10.2 (5.1-17.3) | 13.3 (9.9-17.1) | 17.1 (15.0-19.7) | 21.5 (15.4-28.9) | 25.9 (14.5-39.2) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 8.0 (6.4-9.8) | 12.2 (11.0-13.5) | 17.9 (16.6-19.1) | 24.8 (21.7-28.2) | 32.4 (26.8-38.0) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 6.7 (5.6-8.1) | 10.0 (9.1-10.9) | 14.3 (13.6-15.1) | 19.6 (17.6-21.9) | 25.6 (21.8-29.8) |
| Income: $50k or more | 5.9 (4.8-7.2) | 8.4 (7.5-9.2) | 11.5 (11.0-12.1) | 15.5 (13.9-17.2) | 19.9 (16.6-23.4) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301