Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23.6 (22.3-24.9) | 29.3 (28.5-30.2) | 35.9 (35.2-36.6) | 43.1 (41.6-44.5) | 50.3 (48.0-52.7) |
| Males | 22.7 (20.9-24.6) | 28.4 (27.3-29.6) | 35.1 (34.2-36.0) | 42.6 (40.6-44.3) | 50.3 (47.0-53.2) |
| Females | 24.5 (22.7-26.6) | 30.2 (29.2-31.4) | 36.7 (35.9-37.6) | 43.7 (41.9-45.6) | 50.7 (47.6-53.7) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 22.9 (21.6-24.3) | 28.7 (27.9-29.6) | 35.4 (34.7-36.1) | 42.8 (41.3-44.2) | 50.3 (47.8-52.7) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 40.8 (33.8-48.0) | 44.5 (40.9-48.1) | 48.0 (45.0-50.7) | 50.8 (44.4-57.0) | 53.0 (42.4-62.8) |
| Hispanic | 25.4 (17.8-34.2) | 30.7 (25.8-35.8) | 36.8 (33.1-40.6) | 43.4 (36.1-51.4) | 50.0 (37.6-62.5) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 27.7 (21.3-35.0) | 30.2 (26.5-33.8) | 33.0 (30.2-35.9) | 36.0 (30.3-41.9) | 39.2 (29.4-49.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 25.1 (22.3-28.0) | 32.5 (30.7-34.3) | 41.0 (39.4-42.6) | 50.0 (46.9-53.1) | 58.8 (54.0-63.1) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 24.0 (22.2-26.0) | 30.1 (29.0-31.2) | 37.2 (36.4-38.1) | 45.0 (42.9-47.1) | 52.8 (49.4-56.1) |
| Income: $50k or more | 21.8 (19.7-24.0) | 27.5 (26.2-28.7) | 34.1 (33.2-35.1) | 41.6 (39.4-43.7) | 49.3 (45.6-53.0) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8.0 (7.3-8.9) | 11.3 (10.7-11.8) | 15.4 (14.9-15.9) | 20.2 (19.1-21.5) | 25.5 (23.4-27.8) |
| Males | 5.9 (5.1-6.9) | 8.8 (8.1-9.5) | 12.6 (12.1-13.2) | 17.5 (16.0-19.1) | 23.1 (20.2-26.1) |
| Females | 10.1 (8.9-11.3) | 13.8 (12.9-14.6) | 18.2 (17.5-18.9) | 23.3 (21.7-25.1) | 28.6 (25.7-31.7) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 7.6 (6.8-8.4) | 10.8 (10.2-11.3) | 14.9 (14.4-15.4) | 19.8 (18.6-21.1) | 25.2 (23.0-27.6) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 19.6 (14.6-25.6) | 22.8 (20.0-25.7) | 26.0 (23.6-28.6) | 29.0 (23.6-34.4) | 31.6 (22.9-41.0) |
| Hispanic | 9.6 (4.9-16.4) | 12.0 (8.5-16.0) | 14.9 (12.5-17.5) | 18.2 (12.2-24.6) | 21.7 (11.0-33.5) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 11.8 (7.7-16.6) | 13.6 (11.0-16.2) | 15.7 (13.8-17.8) | 18.0 (13.7-22.6) | 20.5 (13.0-29.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 10.7 (8.8-12.9) | 15.4 (14.0-16.9) | 21.3 (19.9-22.6) | 27.9 (25.1-30.9) | 34.7 (29.8-39.5) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 7.8 (6.8-8.9) | 11.6 (10.8-12.3) | 16.7 (16.0-17.4) | 22.8 (21.1-24.5) | 29.3 (26.3-32.5) |
| Income: $50k or more | 6.4 (5.3-7.7) | 9.3 (8.4-10.1) | 13.0 (12.4-13.7) | 17.7 (15.9-19.5) | 23.0 (19.8-26.6) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301