Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 23.6 (22.3-24.9) 29.3 (28.5-30.2) 35.9 (35.2-36.6) 43.1 (41.6-44.5) 50.3 (48.0-52.7)
Males 22.7 (20.9-24.6) 28.4 (27.3-29.6) 35.1 (34.2-36.0) 42.6 (40.6-44.3) 50.3 (47.0-53.2)
Females 24.5 (22.7-26.6) 30.2 (29.2-31.4) 36.7 (35.9-37.6) 43.7 (41.9-45.6) 50.7 (47.6-53.7)
White, non-Hispanic 22.9 (21.6-24.3) 28.7 (27.9-29.6) 35.4 (34.7-36.1) 42.8 (41.3-44.2) 50.3 (47.8-52.7)
Black, non-Hispanic 40.8 (33.8-48.0) 44.5 (40.9-48.1) 48.0 (45.0-50.7) 50.8 (44.4-57.0) 53.0 (42.4-62.8)
Hispanic 25.4 (17.8-34.2) 30.7 (25.8-35.8) 36.8 (33.1-40.6) 43.4 (36.1-51.4) 50.0 (37.6-62.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 27.7 (21.3-35.0) 30.2 (26.5-33.8) 33.0 (30.2-35.9) 36.0 (30.3-41.9) 39.2 (29.4-49.0)
Income: Less than $20k 25.1 (22.3-28.0) 32.5 (30.7-34.3) 41.0 (39.4-42.6) 50.0 (46.9-53.1) 58.8 (54.0-63.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 24.0 (22.2-26.0) 30.1 (29.0-31.2) 37.2 (36.4-38.1) 45.0 (42.9-47.1) 52.8 (49.4-56.1)
Income: $50k or more 21.8 (19.7-24.0) 27.5 (26.2-28.7) 34.1 (33.2-35.1) 41.6 (39.4-43.7) 49.3 (45.6-53.0)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.0 (7.3-8.9) 11.3 (10.7-11.8) 15.4 (14.9-15.9) 20.2 (19.1-21.5) 25.5 (23.4-27.8)
Males 5.9 (5.1-6.9) 8.8 (8.1-9.5) 12.6 (12.1-13.2) 17.5 (16.0-19.1) 23.1 (20.2-26.1)
Females 10.1 (8.9-11.3) 13.8 (12.9-14.6) 18.2 (17.5-18.9) 23.3 (21.7-25.1) 28.6 (25.7-31.7)
White, non-Hispanic 7.6 (6.8-8.4) 10.8 (10.2-11.3) 14.9 (14.4-15.4) 19.8 (18.6-21.1) 25.2 (23.0-27.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 19.6 (14.6-25.6) 22.8 (20.0-25.7) 26.0 (23.6-28.6) 29.0 (23.6-34.4) 31.6 (22.9-41.0)
Hispanic 9.6 (4.9-16.4) 12.0 (8.5-16.0) 14.9 (12.5-17.5) 18.2 (12.2-24.6) 21.7 (11.0-33.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 11.8 (7.7-16.6) 13.6 (11.0-16.2) 15.7 (13.8-17.8) 18.0 (13.7-22.6) 20.5 (13.0-29.0)
Income: Less than $20k 10.7 (8.8-12.9) 15.4 (14.0-16.9) 21.3 (19.9-22.6) 27.9 (25.1-30.9) 34.7 (29.8-39.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.8 (6.8-8.9) 11.6 (10.8-12.3) 16.7 (16.0-17.4) 22.8 (21.1-24.5) 29.3 (26.3-32.5)
Income: $50k or more 6.4 (5.3-7.7) 9.3 (8.4-10.1) 13.0 (12.4-13.7) 17.7 (15.9-19.5) 23.0 (19.8-26.6)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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