Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 26.9 (25.6-28.2) 33.8 (33.0-34.5) 41.5 (40.9-42.1) 49.6 (48.4-50.8) 57.5 (55.6-59.4)
Males 24.5 (22.8-26.2) 31.6 (30.5-32.6) 39.7 (38.9-40.6) 48.5 (46.8-50.1) 57.0 (54.2-59.6)
Females 29.2 (27.4-30.9) 35.9 (34.8-36.9) 43.3 (42.5-44.1) 50.9 (49.4-52.6) 58.3 (55.8-61.0)
White, non-Hispanic 26.8 (25.4-28.1) 33.7 (32.8-34.4) 41.4 (40.8-42.1) 49.5 (48.3-50.8) 57.4 (55.6-59.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 40.4 (32.2-48.8) 44.4 (39.6-49.0) 48.8 (45.9-51.9) 53.3 (47.0-59.3) 57.5 (47.5-67.1)
Hispanic 20.3 (13.3-28.8) 28.2 (23.1-33.3) 38.1 (33.5-42.3) 48.8 (38.7-57.9) 58.5 (43.1-71.8)
Other, non-Hispanic 25.6 (18.6-33.3) 32.2 (27.9-36.4) 40.0 (37.1-42.9) 48.1 (41.5-54.6) 55.6 (44.7-65.6)
Income: Less than $20k 28.6 (26.6-30.7) 35.3 (34.1-36.5) 43.0 (41.9-44.0) 51.1 (49.1-53.2) 59.0 (56.0-62.0)
Income: $20k to $50k 27.1 (25.3-29.0) 34.5 (33.4-35.7) 43.0 (42.1-43.9) 51.8 (50.1-53.7) 60.2 (57.4-63.0)
Income: $50k or more 23.0 (20.6-25.4) 31.2 (29.6-32.7) 40.8 (39.8-41.8) 50.9 (48.9-53.0) 60.5 (57.2-63.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 10.2 (9.4-11.1) 14.3 (13.7-14.9) 19.3 (18.8-19.8) 24.9 (23.7-26.0) 30.8 (28.7-32.8)
Males 7.5 (6.5-8.6) 11.0 (10.3-11.8) 15.6 (15.0-16.2) 21.0 (19.5-22.6) 27.0 (24.1-29.9)
Females 12.8 (11.5-14.2) 17.5 (16.6-18.3) 23.0 (22.3-23.7) 29.1 (27.5-30.6) 35.2 (32.5-37.9)
White, non-Hispanic 10.1 (9.3-11.0) 14.2 (13.6-14.8) 19.1 (18.6-19.7) 24.8 (23.6-26.0) 30.7 (28.6-32.7)
Black, non-Hispanic 17.3 (11.9-23.5) 21.0 (17.6-24.6) 25.1 (22.7-27.7) 29.4 (24.1-35.1) 33.7 (24.8-42.8)
Hispanic 8.6 (4.1-14.4) 12.3 (8.9-16.0) 17.3 (13.9-20.8) 23.0 (15.3-30.8) 28.4 (15.8-42.0)
Other, non-Hispanic 10.4 (6.4-15.2) 14.4 (11.8-17.3) 19.3 (16.9-21.7) 24.8 (19.3-31.1) 30.3 (20.9-40.6)
Income: Less than $20k 11.6 (10.2-13.0) 16.6 (15.6-17.6) 22.8 (21.9-23.7) 29.8 (27.9-31.7) 36.9 (33.8-40.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 10.0 (8.7-11.2) 14.5 (13.6-15.3) 20.2 (19.4-20.9) 26.6 (24.9-28.4) 33.3 (30.4-36.4)
Income: $50k or more 7.7 (6.3-9.1) 11.6 (10.5-12.6) 16.7 (15.9-17.5) 22.7 (20.9-24.5) 28.9 (25.5-32.3)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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