Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 23.5 (22.1-25.1) 26.2 (25.4-27.1) 29.1 (28.4-29.8) 32.1 (30.7-33.6) 35.3 (33.0-37.8)
Males 15.3 (13.4-17.2) 18.7 (17.5-19.9) 22.7 (21.8-23.7) 27.3 (25.5-29.5) 32.3 (29.1-36.3)
Females 30.9 (28.8-33.3) 32.9 (31.7-34.1) 34.9 (34.0-35.8) 37.0 (35.1-38.8) 39.0 (35.9-42.2)
White, non-Hispanic 9.1 (7.5-10.7) 11.1 (10.1-12.1) 13.7 (13.0-14.4) 16.8 (15.1-18.7) 20.6 (17.2-24.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 30.8 (28.8-33.0) 37.1 (35.9-38.3) 43.9 (42.8-44.9) 50.9 (48.7-53.1) 57.7 (54.5-61.1)
Hispanic 13.6 (9.1-18.9) 18.1 (15.0-21.5) 23.9 (21.2-26.3) 30.9 (24.6-37.7) 38.6 (27.1-50.0)
Other, non-Hispanic 11.4 (6.9-16.9) 15.5 (12.3-18.8) 21.6 (19.2-23.8) 29.6 (23.4-36.5) 38.8 (26.8-51.7)
Income: Less than $20k 27.3 (24.2-30.6) 34.2 (32.3-36.0) 41.9 (40.2-43.7) 50.1 (46.8-53.5) 58.0 (52.6-63.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 21.8 (19.6-24.1) 28.5 (27.1-29.8) 36.3 (34.9-37.8) 44.9 (42.0-48.0) 53.6 (49.1-58.5)
Income: $50k or more 19.5 (16.9-22.2) 20.3 (18.8-21.8) 21.2 (20.5-22.0) 22.3 (20.6-24.1) 23.3 (20.2-26.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 10.0 (9.1-11.1) 11.6 (11.0-12.2) 13.3 (12.8-13.8) 15.2 (14.1-16.4) 17.3 (15.2-19.3)
Males 5.1 (4.1-6.3) 6.3 (5.6-7.1) 7.8 (7.2-8.4) 9.4 (8.1-10.8) 11.3 (8.9-13.9)
Females 14.3 (12.8-16.2) 16.3 (15.3-17.3) 18.5 (17.7-19.2) 20.8 (19.1-22.5) 23.1 (20.3-26.1)
White, non-Hispanic 2.1 (1.6-2.7) 3.0 (2.6-3.4) 4.2 (3.8-4.6) 5.8 (4.7-7.1) 8.1 (5.7-10.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 13.9 (12.3-15.5) 17.8 (16.8-18.8) 22.3 (21.4-23.2) 27.2 (25.3-29.2) 32.2 (29.0-35.6)
Hispanic 5.1 (2.8-8.0) 6.5 (4.8-8.2) 8.3 (6.7-9.9) 10.4 (6.8-15.2) 12.9 (6.4-22.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 3.9 (1.8-7.3) 6.2 (4.2-8.5) 9.9 (8.3-11.6) 15.2 (10.2-21.0) 21.7 (11.4-33.7)
Income: Less than $20k 12.8 (10.6-15.4) 17.4 (15.8-18.9) 22.8 (21.3-24.4) 28.9 (25.7-32.1) 34.9 (29.7-40.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.4 (7.1-9.8) 12.2 (11.3-13.2) 17.2 (16.1-18.4) 23.1 (20.5-25.6) 29.4 (25.1-33.8)
Income: $50k or more 8.2 (6.5-10.1) 8.2 (7.3-9.1) 8.2 (7.7-8.7) 8.2 (7.1-9.4) 8.2 (6.3-10.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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