Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 21.9 (20.8-22.9) 27.3 (26.6-28.0) 33.6 (33.1-34.1) 40.4 (39.4-41.4) 47.4 (45.6-49.2)
Males 19.7 (18.4-21.0) 25.4 (24.6-26.2) 32.2 (31.6-32.8) 39.9 (38.5-41.2) 48.0 (45.7-50.3)
Females 24.2 (22.8-25.7) 29.3 (28.5-30.1) 35.0 (34.4-35.6) 41.0 (39.8-42.4) 47.2 (44.9-49.5)
White, non-Hispanic 21.4 (20.3-22.5) 27.2 (26.5-27.8) 33.8 (33.3-34.4) 41.2 (40.0-42.2) 48.7 (46.8-50.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 31.0 (25.0-37.9) 36.6 (33.1-40.7) 42.8 (40.5-45.1) 49.4 (44.5-54.6) 56.0 (47.4-64.2)
Hispanic 21.9 (18.5-25.7) 29.9 (27.7-32.2) 39.4 (38.0-40.8) 49.3 (46.0-52.9) 58.3 (52.7-63.9)
Other, non-Hispanic 24.4 (21.1-27.9) 24.9 (23.1-26.8) 25.5 (24.5-26.7) 26.3 (23.9-28.7) 27.0 (22.9-31.5)
Income: Less than $20k 23.8 (21.8-25.9) 30.8 (29.5-32.1) 38.9 (37.8-40.0) 47.5 (45.1-49.8) 55.9 (52.2-59.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.5 (21.0-24.1) 28.9 (28.0-29.8) 36.3 (35.6-37.1) 44.4 (42.9-46.1) 52.5 (50.0-55.1)
Income: $50k or more 20.7 (19.2-22.3) 25.8 (24.8-26.8) 31.6 (31.0-32.2) 38.1 (36.7-39.4) 44.9 (42.4-47.2)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.1 (7.4-8.7) 10.9 (10.4-11.3) 14.3 (13.9-14.7) 18.2 (17.3-19.2) 22.6 (20.9-24.4)
Males 5.4 (4.7-6.1) 7.9 (7.5-8.4) 11.4 (11.0-11.8) 15.8 (14.6-16.9) 20.9 (18.6-23.2)
Females 11.0 (10.0-12.0) 13.9 (13.3-14.5) 17.3 (16.8-17.8) 21.0 (19.9-22.3) 25.0 (23.0-27.2)
White, non-Hispanic 7.8 (7.1-8.5) 10.7 (10.3-11.2) 14.4 (14.0-14.8) 18.7 (17.8-19.7) 23.5 (21.7-25.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 11.3 (7.1-16.6) 14.9 (12.0-18.1) 19.3 (17.3-21.3) 24.3 (19.6-29.4) 29.5 (20.8-38.8)
Hispanic 7.0 (5.2-9.2) 10.8 (9.4-12.4) 16.1 (15.0-17.1) 22.2 (19.4-25.2) 28.5 (23.1-34.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 11.5 (9.2-14.1) 11.2 (10.0-12.5) 10.9 (10.2-11.7) 10.7 (9.2-12.4) 10.4 (8.0-13.4)
Income: Less than $20k 10.6 (9.1-12.2) 14.8 (13.8-15.8) 19.9 (19.0-20.8) 25.6 (23.6-27.8) 31.5 (27.9-35.3)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.3 (7.4-9.2) 11.8 (11.1-12.4) 16.2 (15.6-16.8) 21.4 (20.0-22.8) 26.9 (24.7-29.5)
Income: $50k or more 6.7 (5.9-7.6) 9.1 (8.5-9.7) 12.1 (11.7-12.5) 15.6 (14.5-16.7) 19.6 (17.4-21.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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