Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 22.6 (21.4-23.9) 28.1 (27.3-28.9) 34.6 (33.9-35.2) 41.6 (40.3-42.8) 48.9 (46.7-50.9)
Males 21.3 (19.7-23.0) 26.4 (25.4-27.5) 32.4 (31.5-33.2) 39.0 (37.3-40.6) 46.0 (43.0-48.9)
Females 23.8 (22.0-25.5) 29.8 (28.6-30.8) 36.8 (35.9-37.6) 44.3 (42.6-46.0) 51.8 (48.9-54.7)
White, non-Hispanic 20.7 (19.4-22.1) 26.4 (25.5-27.3) 33.0 (32.4-33.6) 40.4 (39.1-41.7) 47.9 (45.8-50.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 35.3 (31.9-38.8) 41.0 (39.1-43.0) 47.3 (45.8-48.6) 53.8 (50.8-56.5) 60.1 (55.5-64.3)
Hispanic 22.6 (16.2-30.1) 27.2 (23.1-31.7) 33.2 (30.6-35.8) 40.4 (35.1-45.6) 47.9 (38.3-56.7)
Other, non-Hispanic 19.0 (14.2-24.8) 21.4 (18.4-24.8) 24.2 (22.2-26.3) 27.3 (22.9-32.0) 30.6 (22.7-38.9)
Income: Less than $20k 28.2 (25.2-31.0) 34.6 (32.7-36.3) 42.0 (40.7-43.4) 49.9 (47.2-52.6) 57.7 (53.5-62.0)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.1 (20.2-24.0) 29.3 (28.0-30.4) 37.8 (36.9-38.8) 47.3 (45.3-49.4) 56.7 (53.6-59.8)
Income: $50k or more 20.0 (18.1-22.0) 25.5 (24.3-26.7) 32.0 (31.1-32.8) 39.1 (37.3-40.7) 46.3 (43.3-49.2)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 7.7 (6.9-8.4) 10.8 (10.3-11.4) 14.9 (14.5-15.4) 19.9 (18.8-21.0) 25.3 (23.3-27.5)
Males 5.9 (5.0-6.9) 8.4 (7.7-9.1) 11.7 (11.1-12.2) 15.9 (14.5-17.2) 20.7 (18.0-23.4)
Females 9.4 (8.4-10.6) 13.3 (12.5-14.1) 18.2 (17.6-18.9) 23.9 (22.4-25.3) 30.0 (27.4-32.4)
White, non-Hispanic 6.9 (6.1-7.6) 9.8 (9.3-10.4) 13.7 (13.2-14.2) 18.5 (17.3-19.7) 23.7 (21.6-26.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 13.7 (11.5-15.9) 18.3 (16.8-19.7) 23.7 (22.5-24.7) 29.6 (27.3-32.0) 35.7 (31.8-39.7)
Hispanic 5.4 (3.1-8.3) 8.6 (6.4-10.8) 13.2 (11.5-15.2) 19.4 (15.6-23.3) 26.7 (19.0-35.2)
Other, non-Hispanic 7.4 (4.8-11.1) 8.4 (6.7-10.5) 9.5 (8.4-10.7) 10.8 (8.2-13.7) 12.2 (7.5-18.0)
Income: Less than $20k 11.0 (9.1-12.8) 15.9 (14.5-17.2) 22.0 (20.9-23.2) 29.1 (26.8-31.5) 36.4 (32.5-40.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.5 (6.6-8.6) 11.6 (10.8-12.4) 17.2 (16.4-17.9) 23.9 (22.3-25.6) 31.2 (28.2-34.1)
Income: $50k or more 6.0 (5.1-7.1) 8.8 (8.1-9.6) 12.4 (11.8-13.0) 16.9 (15.5-18.2) 21.9 (19.3-24.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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