Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22.6 (21.4-23.9) | 28.1 (27.3-28.9) | 34.6 (33.9-35.2) | 41.6 (40.3-42.8) | 48.9 (46.7-50.9) |
| Males | 21.3 (19.7-23.0) | 26.4 (25.4-27.5) | 32.4 (31.5-33.2) | 39.0 (37.3-40.6) | 46.0 (43.0-48.9) |
| Females | 23.8 (22.0-25.5) | 29.8 (28.6-30.8) | 36.8 (35.9-37.6) | 44.3 (42.6-46.0) | 51.8 (48.9-54.7) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 20.7 (19.4-22.1) | 26.4 (25.5-27.3) | 33.0 (32.4-33.6) | 40.4 (39.1-41.7) | 47.9 (45.8-50.2) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 35.3 (31.9-38.8) | 41.0 (39.1-43.0) | 47.3 (45.8-48.6) | 53.8 (50.8-56.5) | 60.1 (55.5-64.3) |
| Hispanic | 22.6 (16.2-30.1) | 27.2 (23.1-31.7) | 33.2 (30.6-35.8) | 40.4 (35.1-45.6) | 47.9 (38.3-56.7) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 19.0 (14.2-24.8) | 21.4 (18.4-24.8) | 24.2 (22.2-26.3) | 27.3 (22.9-32.0) | 30.6 (22.7-38.9) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 28.2 (25.2-31.0) | 34.6 (32.7-36.3) | 42.0 (40.7-43.4) | 49.9 (47.2-52.6) | 57.7 (53.5-62.0) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 22.1 (20.2-24.0) | 29.3 (28.0-30.4) | 37.8 (36.9-38.8) | 47.3 (45.3-49.4) | 56.7 (53.6-59.8) |
| Income: $50k or more | 20.0 (18.1-22.0) | 25.5 (24.3-26.7) | 32.0 (31.1-32.8) | 39.1 (37.3-40.7) | 46.3 (43.3-49.2) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7.7 (6.9-8.4) | 10.8 (10.3-11.4) | 14.9 (14.5-15.4) | 19.9 (18.8-21.0) | 25.3 (23.3-27.5) |
| Males | 5.9 (5.0-6.9) | 8.4 (7.7-9.1) | 11.7 (11.1-12.2) | 15.9 (14.5-17.2) | 20.7 (18.0-23.4) |
| Females | 9.4 (8.4-10.6) | 13.3 (12.5-14.1) | 18.2 (17.6-18.9) | 23.9 (22.4-25.3) | 30.0 (27.4-32.4) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 6.9 (6.1-7.6) | 9.8 (9.3-10.4) | 13.7 (13.2-14.2) | 18.5 (17.3-19.7) | 23.7 (21.6-26.0) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 13.7 (11.5-15.9) | 18.3 (16.8-19.7) | 23.7 (22.5-24.7) | 29.6 (27.3-32.0) | 35.7 (31.8-39.7) |
| Hispanic | 5.4 (3.1-8.3) | 8.6 (6.4-10.8) | 13.2 (11.5-15.2) | 19.4 (15.6-23.3) | 26.7 (19.0-35.2) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 7.4 (4.8-11.1) | 8.4 (6.7-10.5) | 9.5 (8.4-10.7) | 10.8 (8.2-13.7) | 12.2 (7.5-18.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 11.0 (9.1-12.8) | 15.9 (14.5-17.2) | 22.0 (20.9-23.2) | 29.1 (26.8-31.5) | 36.4 (32.5-40.5) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 7.5 (6.6-8.6) | 11.6 (10.8-12.4) | 17.2 (16.4-17.9) | 23.9 (22.3-25.6) | 31.2 (28.2-34.1) |
| Income: $50k or more | 6.0 (5.1-7.1) | 8.8 (8.1-9.6) | 12.4 (11.8-13.0) | 16.9 (15.5-18.2) | 21.9 (19.3-24.5) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301