Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 20.0 (18.9-21.2) 25.0 (24.3-25.7) 30.7 (30.2-31.2) 37.0 (35.8-38.3) 43.6 (41.5-45.8)
Males 18.6 (17.1-20.1) 23.6 (22.6-24.6) 29.5 (28.8-30.3) 36.2 (34.5-37.9) 43.1 (40.2-46.1)
Females 21.5 (20.0-22.9) 26.3 (25.4-27.1) 31.9 (31.2-32.6) 37.9 (36.4-39.5) 44.2 (41.7-47.0)
White, non-Hispanic 19.9 (18.7-21.1) 24.9 (24.2-25.6) 30.7 (30.1-31.2) 37.1 (35.8-38.3) 43.7 (41.6-45.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 40.4 (18.7-63.0) 36.3 (23.8-49.0) 32.3 (25.7-39.0) 29.5 (18.0-43.9) 28.1 (11.4-51.1)
Hispanic 21.3 (14.0-30.3) 24.8 (20.3-29.4) 29.4 (25.2-33.5) 34.8 (26.1-44.2) 40.2 (25.6-55.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 20.6 (14.8-27.2) 25.5 (21.8-29.4) 31.2 (28.8-33.5) 37.6 (31.9-43.3) 44.2 (34.3-54.5)
Income: Less than $20k 23.0 (20.8-25.1) 29.1 (27.7-30.4) 36.4 (35.1-37.5) 44.5 (41.9-46.9) 52.6 (48.4-56.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 19.6 (18.2-21.3) 25.9 (25.0-26.9) 33.4 (32.6-34.2) 41.6 (39.8-43.4) 49.9 (46.9-52.7)
Income: $50k or more 17.6 (15.9-19.3) 22.2 (21.1-23.2) 27.6 (26.9-28.4) 34.0 (32.4-35.7) 41.0 (37.9-44.2)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.9 (6.3-7.7) 9.5 (9.0-9.9) 12.7 (12.3-13.1) 16.5 (15.5-17.5) 20.7 (18.9-22.7)
Males 5.1 (4.4-5.9) 7.3 (6.8-7.8) 10.1 (9.6-10.6) 13.7 (12.4-14.9) 17.8 (15.4-20.2)
Females 8.8 (7.8-9.8) 11.7 (11.1-12.3) 15.2 (14.7-15.8) 19.4 (18.1-20.7) 23.9 (21.5-26.4)
White, non-Hispanic 6.9 (6.2-7.5) 9.4 (8.9-9.8) 12.6 (12.2-13.0) 16.4 (15.4-17.4) 20.6 (18.8-22.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 14.0 (3.9-29.9) 14.1 (7.4-22.5) 14.4 (9.7-19.3) 14.8 (6.9-25.6) 15.5 (4.2-34.1)
Hispanic 7.7 (3.6-13.7) 10.8 (7.6-14.3) 15.1 (12.3-18.1) 20.4 (13.2-29.4) 25.9 (13.1-41.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 9.7 (6.2-14.5) 11.8 (9.5-14.5) 14.3 (12.7-16.0) 17.0 (12.9-21.8) 19.7 (12.5-28.6)
Income: Less than $20k 8.4 (7.1-9.8) 12.6 (11.7-13.6) 18.3 (17.3-19.3) 25.1 (22.8-27.5) 32.3 (28.4-36.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.3 (6.4-8.3) 10.4 (9.8-11.1) 14.5 (13.9-15.1) 19.3 (17.7-20.8) 24.5 (21.7-27.4)
Income: $50k or more 4.5 (3.7-5.4) 6.7 (6.1-7.3) 9.8 (9.4-10.3) 13.9 (12.6-15.4) 18.9 (16.1-21.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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