Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 20.9 (19.6-22.1) 25.5 (24.7-26.3) 30.9 (30.4-31.4) 36.9 (35.8-38.0) 43.2 (41.3-45.1)
Males 19.4 (17.8-21.0) 24.3 (23.3-25.3) 30.1 (29.5-30.9) 36.8 (35.4-38.1) 43.9 (41.5-46.3)
Females 22.6 (20.9-24.3) 26.8 (25.8-27.9) 31.7 (31.1-32.3) 37.0 (35.7-38.4) 42.7 (40.2-45.2)
White, non-Hispanic 20.9 (19.5-22.2) 25.3 (24.5-26.2) 30.6 (30.0-31.1) 36.4 (35.3-37.6) 42.7 (40.7-44.7)
Black, non-Hispanic 41.3 (23.1-58.4) 38.7 (28.3-48.4) 36.4 (31.1-42.2) 34.7 (25.1-46.2) 33.5 (18.7-53.2)
Hispanic 21.0 (17.0-25.5) 27.0 (24.3-29.8) 34.0 (32.6-35.4) 41.5 (38.4-44.7) 49.1 (43.0-54.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 21.4 (15.8-27.9) 25.2 (21.7-29.1) 29.8 (28.0-31.8) 35.1 (31.0-39.6) 40.7 (33.0-48.9)
Income: Less than $20k 22.3 (19.7-24.8) 27.0 (25.4-28.6) 32.7 (31.5-33.8) 39.0 (36.5-41.4) 45.6 (41.4-49.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 20.8 (19.1-22.6) 26.8 (25.7-27.9) 33.8 (33.1-34.6) 41.7 (40.2-43.3) 49.9 (47.0-52.6)
Income: $50k or more 20.8 (18.9-23.0) 25.1 (23.9-26.4) 30.1 (29.5-30.7) 35.7 (34.3-37.2) 41.7 (38.9-44.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.9 (6.2-7.6) 9.3 (8.9-9.8) 12.5 (12.1-12.8) 16.3 (15.4-17.3) 20.6 (18.9-22.6)
Males 4.8 (4.1-5.5) 7.1 (6.5-7.6) 10.2 (9.7-10.6) 14.1 (13.1-15.2) 18.8 (16.7-21.3)
Females 9.0 (7.9-10.2) 11.7 (11.0-12.5) 15.0 (14.5-15.5) 18.8 (17.5-20.1) 23.0 (20.6-25.5)
White, non-Hispanic 6.6 (5.9-7.3) 9.2 (8.7-9.7) 12.4 (12.0-12.8) 16.4 (15.5-17.4) 21.0 (19.2-23.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 17.7 (7.2-30.3) 15.4 (9.6-21.8) 13.4 (10.2-17.1) 11.9 (6.5-19.3) 10.8 (3.5-24.9)
Hispanic 8.8 (6.3-11.8) 10.7 (9.0-12.5) 12.8 (11.8-13.8) 15.0 (12.8-17.2) 17.1 (12.9-21.6)
Other, non-Hispanic 7.7 (4.6-11.6) 10.2 (7.9-12.8) 13.4 (12.2-14.8) 17.4 (14.0-20.6) 21.8 (15.0-29.0)
Income: Less than $20k 8.1 (6.6-9.8) 11.3 (10.2-12.5) 15.4 (14.5-16.2) 20.3 (18.3-22.5) 25.9 (22.2-29.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.0 (6.1-8.0) 10.3 (9.6-11.0) 14.6 (14.1-15.2) 19.9 (18.5-21.4) 25.8 (23.2-28.6)
Income: $50k or more 6.1 (5.1-7.1) 8.3 (7.6-9.0) 11.1 (10.7-11.6) 14.6 (13.5-15.9) 18.7 (16.3-21.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301 

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