Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 24.3 (23.1-25.6) 31.3 (30.5-32.1) 39.3 (38.7-40.0) 47.7 (46.4-49.0) 55.8 (53.9-57.8)
Males 21.5 (19.9-23.2) 28.6 (27.5-29.7) 36.9 (35.9-37.8) 46.0 (44.1-47.8) 55.0 (52.1-57.8)
Females 27.1 (25.4-28.7) 34.0 (33.0-34.9) 41.7 (40.9-42.5) 49.5 (47.9-51.2) 56.9 (54.4-59.5)
White, non-Hispanic 22.5 (21.3-23.8) 29.5 (28.7-30.3) 37.7 (37.0-38.4) 46.4 (45.1-47.8) 54.9 (52.8-57.1)
Black, non-Hispanic 35.9 (32.3-39.6) 42.8 (40.5-44.8) 49.9 (48.0-51.6) 56.9 (53.5-60.1) 63.2 (58.1-68.1)
Hispanic 29.4 (20.3-39.5) 33.3 (27.6-38.8) 37.7 (32.9-42.5) 42.2 (33.1-51.5) 46.4 (32.1-60.6)
Other, non-Hispanic 17.5 (11.3-25.3) 23.5 (19.0-28.4) 31.3 (28.1-34.6) 40.5 (34.0-48.1) 50.0 (38.2-62.2)
Income: Less than $20k 28.6 (26.6-31.0) 35.5 (34.1-37.0) 43.2 (41.8-44.5) 51.1 (48.6-53.5) 58.7 (54.9-62.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 25.1 (23.2-26.9) 32.5 (31.3-33.6) 41.0 (39.9-42.1) 49.9 (47.7-51.9) 58.2 (54.9-61.2)
Income: $50k or more 21.2 (19.0-23.5) 28.6 (27.1-30.0) 37.3 (36.2-38.4) 46.8 (44.6-49.1) 56.1 (52.5-59.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 9.3 (8.5-10.1) 13.3 (12.7-13.9) 18.3 (17.7-18.8) 24.0 (22.8-25.2) 29.9 (27.8-32.1)
Males 6.6 (5.6-7.5) 10.0 (9.3-10.8) 14.6 (13.9-15.4) 20.3 (18.7-22.1) 26.5 (23.5-29.7)
Females 11.9 (10.8-13.1) 16.4 (15.7-17.2) 21.9 (21.1-22.6) 27.8 (26.3-29.5) 33.7 (31.2-36.5)
White, non-Hispanic 8.3 (7.6-9.2) 12.1 (11.6-12.7) 17.0 (16.4-17.6) 22.7 (21.5-24.0) 28.6 (26.5-30.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 15.5 (12.9-18.0) 20.5 (18.9-22.1) 26.2 (24.7-27.7) 32.1 (28.9-35.2) 37.9 (32.9-42.7)
Hispanic 11.4 (5.2-19.2) 14.0 (9.3-19.2) 17.2 (13.2-22.1) 20.7 (13.2-29.7) 24.3 (12.1-39.2)
Other, non-Hispanic 6.5 (3.2-11.4) 9.6 (6.7-13.0) 14.1 (11.6-16.8) 19.7 (14.0-26.1) 25.9 (14.6-38.2)
Income: Less than $20k 12.8 (11.4-14.4) 17.6 (16.6-18.7) 23.4 (22.2-24.5) 29.7 (27.4-32.0) 36.0 (32.3-39.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 9.5 (8.3-10.7) 13.8 (13.0-14.7) 19.4 (18.5-20.3) 25.7 (23.7-27.7) 32.1 (28.8-35.4)
Income: $50k or more 6.9 (5.7-8.2) 10.5 (9.4-11.4) 15.1 (14.3-16.0) 20.7 (18.8-22.9) 26.8 (23.1-30.6)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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