Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24.3 (23.1-25.6) | 31.3 (30.5-32.1) | 39.3 (38.7-40.0) | 47.7 (46.4-49.0) | 55.8 (53.9-57.8) |
| Males | 21.5 (19.9-23.2) | 28.6 (27.5-29.7) | 36.9 (35.9-37.8) | 46.0 (44.1-47.8) | 55.0 (52.1-57.8) |
| Females | 27.1 (25.4-28.7) | 34.0 (33.0-34.9) | 41.7 (40.9-42.5) | 49.5 (47.9-51.2) | 56.9 (54.4-59.5) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 22.5 (21.3-23.8) | 29.5 (28.7-30.3) | 37.7 (37.0-38.4) | 46.4 (45.1-47.8) | 54.9 (52.8-57.1) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 35.9 (32.3-39.6) | 42.8 (40.5-44.8) | 49.9 (48.0-51.6) | 56.9 (53.5-60.1) | 63.2 (58.1-68.1) |
| Hispanic | 29.4 (20.3-39.5) | 33.3 (27.6-38.8) | 37.7 (32.9-42.5) | 42.2 (33.1-51.5) | 46.4 (32.1-60.6) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 17.5 (11.3-25.3) | 23.5 (19.0-28.4) | 31.3 (28.1-34.6) | 40.5 (34.0-48.1) | 50.0 (38.2-62.2) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 28.6 (26.6-31.0) | 35.5 (34.1-37.0) | 43.2 (41.8-44.5) | 51.1 (48.6-53.5) | 58.7 (54.9-62.1) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 25.1 (23.2-26.9) | 32.5 (31.3-33.6) | 41.0 (39.9-42.1) | 49.9 (47.7-51.9) | 58.2 (54.9-61.2) |
| Income: $50k or more | 21.2 (19.0-23.5) | 28.6 (27.1-30.0) | 37.3 (36.2-38.4) | 46.8 (44.6-49.1) | 56.1 (52.5-59.7) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9.3 (8.5-10.1) | 13.3 (12.7-13.9) | 18.3 (17.7-18.8) | 24.0 (22.8-25.2) | 29.9 (27.8-32.1) |
| Males | 6.6 (5.6-7.5) | 10.0 (9.3-10.8) | 14.6 (13.9-15.4) | 20.3 (18.7-22.1) | 26.5 (23.5-29.7) |
| Females | 11.9 (10.8-13.1) | 16.4 (15.7-17.2) | 21.9 (21.1-22.6) | 27.8 (26.3-29.5) | 33.7 (31.2-36.5) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 8.3 (7.6-9.2) | 12.1 (11.6-12.7) | 17.0 (16.4-17.6) | 22.7 (21.5-24.0) | 28.6 (26.5-30.9) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 15.5 (12.9-18.0) | 20.5 (18.9-22.1) | 26.2 (24.7-27.7) | 32.1 (28.9-35.2) | 37.9 (32.9-42.7) |
| Hispanic | 11.4 (5.2-19.2) | 14.0 (9.3-19.2) | 17.2 (13.2-22.1) | 20.7 (13.2-29.7) | 24.3 (12.1-39.2) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 6.5 (3.2-11.4) | 9.6 (6.7-13.0) | 14.1 (11.6-16.8) | 19.7 (14.0-26.1) | 25.9 (14.6-38.2) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 12.8 (11.4-14.4) | 17.6 (16.6-18.7) | 23.4 (22.2-24.5) | 29.7 (27.4-32.0) | 36.0 (32.3-39.5) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 9.5 (8.3-10.7) | 13.8 (13.0-14.7) | 19.4 (18.5-20.3) | 25.7 (23.7-27.7) | 32.1 (28.8-35.4) |
| Income: $50k or more | 6.9 (5.7-8.2) | 10.5 (9.4-11.4) | 15.1 (14.3-16.0) | 20.7 (18.8-22.9) | 26.8 (23.1-30.6) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301