Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 24.1 (22.9-25.4) 29.7 (29.0-30.5) 36.2 (35.5-36.9) 43.3 (41.8-44.8) 50.6 (48.1-52.9)
Males 21.8 (20.2-23.5) 28.2 (27.2-29.2) 35.9 (35.0-36.7) 44.3 (42.2-46.3) 53.0 (49.6-56.1)
Females 26.6 (24.8-28.3) 31.3 (30.3-32.2) 36.6 (35.7-37.4) 42.3 (40.3-44.2) 48.2 (45.1-51.4)
White, non-Hispanic 23.1 (21.9-24.4) 28.9 (28.2-29.7) 35.6 (34.9-36.3) 42.9 (41.4-44.4) 50.4 (48.0-52.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 33.4 (15.0-54.1) 29.3 (18.9-40.3) 26.4 (19.7-33.0) 25.4 (13.5-39.6) 25.9 (8.3-49.2)
Hispanic 25.1 (15.9-36.5) 30.8 (25.2-36.9) 37.9 (32.8-42.8) 45.5 (34.3-56.5) 52.5 (33.9-68.7)
Other, non-Hispanic 44.4 (38.7-50.3) 44.1 (41.3-47.1) 43.9 (42.0-45.9) 44.0 (39.4-48.7) 44.2 (36.6-52.4)
Income: Less than $20k 24.5 (22.1-26.8) 31.8 (30.5-33.1) 40.4 (38.9-41.9) 49.7 (46.6-52.7) 58.7 (54.1-63.2)
Income: $20k to $50k 24.9 (23.0-26.8) 30.8 (29.8-31.8) 37.7 (36.7-38.8) 45.4 (43.2-47.6) 53.2 (49.8-56.7)
Income: $50k or more 21.3 (19.1-23.5) 27.8 (26.5-29.2) 35.6 (34.6-36.5) 44.3 (42.2-46.5) 53.3 (49.8-56.9)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 7.7 (6.9-8.5) 10.9 (10.4-11.4) 14.9 (14.4-15.5) 19.8 (18.5-21.2) 25.2 (22.9-27.7)
Males 5.8 (5.0-6.8) 8.8 (8.2-9.4) 12.9 (12.2-13.6) 18.1 (16.4-20.0) 24.1 (20.8-27.3)
Females 9.7 (8.6-10.9) 13.0 (12.3-13.7) 17.0 (16.4-17.7) 21.7 (20.1-23.5) 26.9 (24.1-29.9)
White, non-Hispanic 7.3 (6.6-8.1) 10.4 (9.9-10.9) 14.4 (13.8-14.9) 19.1 (17.9-20.5) 24.4 (22.1-27.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 10.7 (2.5-25.0) 11.5 (5.5-19.2) 12.9 (8.2-18.1) 14.8 (5.8-27.1) 17.1 (3.4-38.7)
Hispanic 9.3 (3.7-17.4) 12.7 (8.6-17.6) 17.4 (13.6-21.8) 22.9 (13.0-34.0) 28.3 (12.4-46.6)
Other, non-Hispanic 16.7 (12.9-21.1) 18.8 (16.7-21.0) 21.0 (19.4-22.5) 23.3 (19.1-26.9) 25.7 (19.0-32.2)
Income: Less than $20k 9.0 (7.7-10.5) 13.6 (12.6-14.6) 19.5 (18.4-20.7) 26.5 (23.8-29.4) 33.8 (29.2-38.2)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.7 (6.7-8.7) 11.4 (10.8-12.0) 16.3 (15.5-17.1) 22.4 (20.4-24.3) 29.0 (25.6-32.4)
Income: $50k or more 5.9 (4.8-7.1) 9.0 (8.1-9.8) 13.3 (12.7-14.0) 18.8 (16.9-20.7) 25.0 (21.1-28.9)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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