Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 25.7 (24.4-27.0) 31.8 (31.0-32.5) 38.6 (38.0-39.1) 45.7 (44.6-46.8) 52.8 (51.0-54.6)
Males 23.3 (21.5-25.1) 29.0 (27.9-30.1) 35.5 (34.8-36.3) 42.5 (41.0-44.2) 49.6 (47.0-52.3)
Females 28.1 (26.4-29.8) 34.5 (33.5-35.5) 41.5 (40.9-42.2) 48.9 (47.4-50.3) 56.0 (53.6-58.3)
White, non-Hispanic 21.2 (19.8-22.4) 27.3 (26.5-28.2) 34.6 (34.0-35.2) 42.5 (41.3-43.7) 50.5 (48.4-52.7)
Black, non-Hispanic 39.8 (37.0-42.8) 44.9 (43.4-46.5) 50.3 (49.4-51.3) 55.7 (53.5-57.7) 60.8 (57.4-64.1)
Hispanic 21.8 (15.5-29.2) 28.3 (24.1-33.1) 36.2 (33.5-39.0) 44.5 (38.3-50.7) 52.6 (41.9-62.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 24.8 (18.3-31.9) 28.3 (24.4-32.3) 32.1 (29.9-34.3) 36.3 (31.2-41.4) 40.6 (31.4-50.1)
Income: Less than $20k 30.7 (28.2-33.2) 37.5 (36.1-39.0) 45.1 (44.1-46.1) 52.8 (50.8-54.8) 60.3 (57.1-63.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 25.2 (23.3-27.1) 32.5 (31.4-33.6) 41.0 (40.1-41.8) 49.9 (48.1-51.7) 58.6 (56.0-61.5)
Income: $50k or more 21.6 (19.5-23.6) 27.7 (26.5-29.0) 34.9 (34.1-35.7) 42.6 (40.8-44.5) 50.3 (47.1-53.6)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 9.9 (9.1-10.7) 13.4 (12.8-13.9) 17.5 (17.1-18.0) 22.2 (21.2-23.3) 27.2 (25.3-29.1)
Males 7.3 (6.3-8.3) 9.9 (9.2-10.6) 13.1 (12.6-13.7) 17.0 (15.6-18.4) 21.2 (18.8-23.8)
Females 12.6 (11.3-13.8) 16.8 (16.0-17.6) 21.9 (21.2-22.5) 27.4 (26.0-28.8) 33.0 (30.7-35.4)
White, non-Hispanic 7.3 (6.6-8.1) 10.5 (9.9-11.1) 14.5 (14.1-15.0) 19.3 (18.2-20.5) 24.6 (22.6-26.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 17.8 (15.8-19.8) 21.9 (20.6-23.1) 26.2 (25.4-27.1) 30.8 (29.1-32.7) 35.4 (32.4-38.6)
Hispanic 8.3 (4.6-13.3) 11.5 (8.5-15.0) 15.6 (13.2-18.2) 20.3 (14.9-26.0) 25.1 (15.1-35.7)
Other, non-Hispanic 11.2 (7.1-16.1) 12.7 (10.0-15.4) 14.3 (12.8-15.9) 16.1 (12.4-19.9) 17.9 (11.6-25.4)
Income: Less than $20k 13.4 (11.8-15.1) 18.4 (17.3-19.5) 24.3 (23.5-25.2) 30.8 (29.0-32.7) 37.3 (34.2-40.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 9.2 (8.0-10.4) 13.5 (12.7-14.4) 19.0 (18.3-19.6) 25.3 (23.7-27.0) 31.9 (29.2-35.0)
Income: $50k or more 7.2 (6.1-8.5) 10.1 (9.2-10.9) 13.6 (13.1-14.1) 17.7 (16.1-19.3) 22.2 (19.2-25.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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