Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 25.7 (24.4-27.0) | 31.8 (31.0-32.5) | 38.6 (38.0-39.1) | 45.7 (44.6-46.8) | 52.8 (51.0-54.6) |
Males | 23.3 (21.5-25.1) | 29.0 (27.9-30.1) | 35.5 (34.8-36.3) | 42.5 (41.0-44.2) | 49.6 (47.0-52.3) |
Females | 28.1 (26.4-29.8) | 34.5 (33.5-35.5) | 41.5 (40.9-42.2) | 48.9 (47.4-50.3) | 56.0 (53.6-58.3) |
White, non-Hispanic | 21.2 (19.8-22.4) | 27.3 (26.5-28.2) | 34.6 (34.0-35.2) | 42.5 (41.3-43.7) | 50.5 (48.4-52.7) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 39.8 (37.0-42.8) | 44.9 (43.4-46.5) | 50.3 (49.4-51.3) | 55.7 (53.5-57.7) | 60.8 (57.4-64.1) |
Hispanic | 21.8 (15.5-29.2) | 28.3 (24.1-33.1) | 36.2 (33.5-39.0) | 44.5 (38.3-50.7) | 52.6 (41.9-62.5) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 24.8 (18.3-31.9) | 28.3 (24.4-32.3) | 32.1 (29.9-34.3) | 36.3 (31.2-41.4) | 40.6 (31.4-50.1) |
Income: Less than $20k | 30.7 (28.2-33.2) | 37.5 (36.1-39.0) | 45.1 (44.1-46.1) | 52.8 (50.8-54.8) | 60.3 (57.1-63.5) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 25.2 (23.3-27.1) | 32.5 (31.4-33.6) | 41.0 (40.1-41.8) | 49.9 (48.1-51.7) | 58.6 (56.0-61.5) |
Income: $50k or more | 21.6 (19.5-23.6) | 27.7 (26.5-29.0) | 34.9 (34.1-35.7) | 42.6 (40.8-44.5) | 50.3 (47.1-53.6) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 9.9 (9.1-10.7) | 13.4 (12.8-13.9) | 17.5 (17.1-18.0) | 22.2 (21.2-23.3) | 27.2 (25.3-29.1) |
Males | 7.3 (6.3-8.3) | 9.9 (9.2-10.6) | 13.1 (12.6-13.7) | 17.0 (15.6-18.4) | 21.2 (18.8-23.8) |
Females | 12.6 (11.3-13.8) | 16.8 (16.0-17.6) | 21.9 (21.2-22.5) | 27.4 (26.0-28.8) | 33.0 (30.7-35.4) |
White, non-Hispanic | 7.3 (6.6-8.1) | 10.5 (9.9-11.1) | 14.5 (14.1-15.0) | 19.3 (18.2-20.5) | 24.6 (22.6-26.9) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 17.8 (15.8-19.8) | 21.9 (20.6-23.1) | 26.2 (25.4-27.1) | 30.8 (29.1-32.7) | 35.4 (32.4-38.6) |
Hispanic | 8.3 (4.6-13.3) | 11.5 (8.5-15.0) | 15.6 (13.2-18.2) | 20.3 (14.9-26.0) | 25.1 (15.1-35.7) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 11.2 (7.1-16.1) | 12.7 (10.0-15.4) | 14.3 (12.8-15.9) | 16.1 (12.4-19.9) | 17.9 (11.6-25.4) |
Income: Less than $20k | 13.4 (11.8-15.1) | 18.4 (17.3-19.5) | 24.3 (23.5-25.2) | 30.8 (29.0-32.7) | 37.3 (34.2-40.5) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 9.2 (8.0-10.4) | 13.5 (12.7-14.4) | 19.0 (18.3-19.6) | 25.3 (23.7-27.0) | 31.9 (29.2-35.0) |
Income: $50k or more | 7.2 (6.1-8.5) | 10.1 (9.2-10.9) | 13.6 (13.1-14.1) | 17.7 (16.1-19.3) | 22.2 (19.2-25.4) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301