Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 20.2 (18.9-21.7) | 25.8 (24.9-26.7) | 32.3 (31.6-33.0) | 39.7 (38.2-41.2) | 47.3 (45.0-49.9) |
Males | 19.0 (17.1-20.8) | 24.7 (23.6-25.9) | 31.8 (30.8-32.7) | 40.0 (38.0-42.0) | 48.8 (45.3-52.3) |
Females | 21.6 (19.7-23.7) | 26.8 (25.7-28.0) | 32.9 (32.1-33.6) | 39.5 (37.6-41.4) | 46.3 (42.8-49.7) |
White, non-Hispanic | 19.9 (18.5-21.4) | 25.3 (24.4-26.3) | 31.8 (31.1-32.5) | 39.2 (37.7-40.7) | 46.9 (44.5-49.6) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 29.1 (22.3-37.2) | 33.7 (29.6-37.9) | 39.1 (36.4-42.0) | 45.1 (39.6-51.4) | 51.1 (41.2-60.9) |
Hispanic | 22.3 (18.1-26.8) | 28.6 (26.0-31.4) | 36.4 (34.5-38.3) | 45.0 (40.6-49.2) | 53.5 (46.5-60.4) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 21.1 (15.5-28.1) | 24.1 (20.4-28.4) | 27.6 (25.3-29.9) | 31.3 (26.2-36.3) | 34.8 (25.7-43.9) |
Income: Less than $20k | 24.4 (21.7-27.6) | 31.1 (29.5-33.0) | 38.7 (37.3-40.2) | 46.8 (43.6-49.6) | 54.4 (49.4-59.1) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 19.9 (17.9-22.1) | 26.6 (25.4-28.0) | 34.8 (33.8-35.7) | 43.8 (41.4-46.0) | 52.7 (48.8-56.3) |
Income: $50k or more | 18.1 (16.2-20.2) | 23.5 (22.3-24.8) | 30.3 (29.4-31.1) | 38.3 (36.3-40.3) | 47.1 (43.4-50.7) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 6.2 (5.5-7.0) | 9.0 (8.5-9.6) | 12.8 (12.4-13.3) | 17.5 (16.3-18.8) | 22.9 (20.6-25.4) |
Males | 4.1 (3.4-4.9) | 6.7 (6.1-7.3) | 10.5 (9.9-11.0) | 15.6 (14.0-17.3) | 21.9 (18.7-25.3) |
Females | 8.2 (7.2-9.5) | 11.3 (10.6-12.1) | 15.1 (14.5-15.7) | 19.6 (18.0-21.2) | 24.5 (21.6-27.6) |
White, non-Hispanic | 5.9 (5.1-6.6) | 8.7 (8.2-9.2) | 12.5 (12.0-13.0) | 17.3 (16.1-18.7) | 22.9 (20.5-25.5) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 16.8 (10.9-24.0) | 17.3 (14.1-21.1) | 17.7 (15.8-19.8) | 17.9 (13.9-23.0) | 18.0 (11.1-27.1) |
Hispanic | 5.9 (4.3-7.9) | 9.4 (8.0-10.9) | 14.4 (13.1-15.7) | 20.8 (17.3-24.3) | 27.8 (21.4-34.4) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 8.3 (4.8-12.9) | 9.6 (7.4-12.2) | 11.2 (9.8-12.6) | 12.9 (9.5-16.9) | 14.6 (8.7-22.4) |
Income: Less than $20k | 9.7 (8.0-11.8) | 13.5 (12.3-14.8) | 18.1 (17.0-19.2) | 23.3 (20.7-26.1) | 28.6 (23.9-33.2) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 6.4 (5.3-7.5) | 9.7 (9.0-10.6) | 14.3 (13.6-15.1) | 20.0 (18.1-22.2) | 26.2 (22.7-30.2) |
Income: $50k or more | 4.1 (3.4-5.0) | 6.8 (6.2-7.4) | 10.8 (10.3-11.4) | 16.4 (14.7-18.1) | 23.3 (20.0-26.7) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301