Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 20.2 (18.9-21.7) 25.8 (24.9-26.7) 32.3 (31.6-33.0) 39.7 (38.2-41.2) 47.3 (45.0-49.9)
Males 19.0 (17.1-20.8) 24.7 (23.6-25.9) 31.8 (30.8-32.7) 40.0 (38.0-42.0) 48.8 (45.3-52.3)
Females 21.6 (19.7-23.7) 26.8 (25.7-28.0) 32.9 (32.1-33.6) 39.5 (37.6-41.4) 46.3 (42.8-49.7)
White, non-Hispanic 19.9 (18.5-21.4) 25.3 (24.4-26.3) 31.8 (31.1-32.5) 39.2 (37.7-40.7) 46.9 (44.5-49.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 29.1 (22.3-37.2) 33.7 (29.6-37.9) 39.1 (36.4-42.0) 45.1 (39.6-51.4) 51.1 (41.2-60.9)
Hispanic 22.3 (18.1-26.8) 28.6 (26.0-31.4) 36.4 (34.5-38.3) 45.0 (40.6-49.2) 53.5 (46.5-60.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 21.1 (15.5-28.1) 24.1 (20.4-28.4) 27.6 (25.3-29.9) 31.3 (26.2-36.3) 34.8 (25.7-43.9)
Income: Less than $20k 24.4 (21.7-27.6) 31.1 (29.5-33.0) 38.7 (37.3-40.2) 46.8 (43.6-49.6) 54.4 (49.4-59.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 19.9 (17.9-22.1) 26.6 (25.4-28.0) 34.8 (33.8-35.7) 43.8 (41.4-46.0) 52.7 (48.8-56.3)
Income: $50k or more 18.1 (16.2-20.2) 23.5 (22.3-24.8) 30.3 (29.4-31.1) 38.3 (36.3-40.3) 47.1 (43.4-50.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.2 (5.5-7.0) 9.0 (8.5-9.6) 12.8 (12.4-13.3) 17.5 (16.3-18.8) 22.9 (20.6-25.4)
Males 4.1 (3.4-4.9) 6.7 (6.1-7.3) 10.5 (9.9-11.0) 15.6 (14.0-17.3) 21.9 (18.7-25.3)
Females 8.2 (7.2-9.5) 11.3 (10.6-12.1) 15.1 (14.5-15.7) 19.6 (18.0-21.2) 24.5 (21.6-27.6)
White, non-Hispanic 5.9 (5.1-6.6) 8.7 (8.2-9.2) 12.5 (12.0-13.0) 17.3 (16.1-18.7) 22.9 (20.5-25.5)
Black, non-Hispanic 16.8 (10.9-24.0) 17.3 (14.1-21.1) 17.7 (15.8-19.8) 17.9 (13.9-23.0) 18.0 (11.1-27.1)
Hispanic 5.9 (4.3-7.9) 9.4 (8.0-10.9) 14.4 (13.1-15.7) 20.8 (17.3-24.3) 27.8 (21.4-34.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 8.3 (4.8-12.9) 9.6 (7.4-12.2) 11.2 (9.8-12.6) 12.9 (9.5-16.9) 14.6 (8.7-22.4)
Income: Less than $20k 9.7 (8.0-11.8) 13.5 (12.3-14.8) 18.1 (17.0-19.2) 23.3 (20.7-26.1) 28.6 (23.9-33.2)
Income: $20k to $50k 6.4 (5.3-7.5) 9.7 (9.0-10.6) 14.3 (13.6-15.1) 20.0 (18.1-22.2) 26.2 (22.7-30.2)
Income: $50k or more 4.1 (3.4-5.0) 6.8 (6.2-7.4) 10.8 (10.3-11.4) 16.4 (14.7-18.1) 23.3 (20.0-26.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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