Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 24.6 (23.4-25.7) 30.2 (29.4-30.8) 36.5 (35.9-37.0) 43.3 (42.1-44.5) 50.2 (48.2-52.1)
Males 22.0 (20.6-23.6) 27.9 (27.0-28.9) 34.9 (34.2-35.7) 42.7 (41.1-44.2) 50.8 (48.1-53.2)
Females 27.1 (25.6-28.5) 32.3 (31.4-33.1) 38.0 (37.3-38.7) 44.0 (42.6-45.5) 50.0 (47.7-52.5)
White, non-Hispanic 23.6 (22.4-24.7) 29.3 (28.5-30.0) 35.7 (35.2-36.3) 42.7 (41.6-44.0) 49.9 (47.8-51.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 40.6 (36.1-45.0) 43.4 (41.0-45.9) 46.3 (44.8-47.8) 49.3 (46.3-52.6) 52.2 (47.1-57.8)
Hispanic 23.7 (18.2-30.2) 31.7 (28.1-35.6) 41.4 (39.1-43.8) 51.7 (46.3-57.0) 61.4 (52.7-69.3)
Other, non-Hispanic 21.8 (16.4-27.5) 22.9 (19.9-26.1) 24.2 (22.5-26.1) 25.8 (21.7-30.2) 27.5 (20.4-35.5)
Income: Less than $20k 28.6 (26.4-30.8) 35.1 (33.8-36.4) 42.3 (41.2-43.2) 49.7 (47.3-51.8) 56.8 (53.3-60.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 24.6 (23.0-26.2) 31.5 (30.6-32.5) 39.5 (38.7-40.3) 48.2 (46.5-50.0) 56.8 (54.0-59.5)
Income: $50k or more 21.5 (19.8-23.4) 27.1 (25.9-28.2) 33.6 (32.9-34.4) 40.9 (39.1-42.6) 48.5 (45.5-51.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.9 (8.1-9.7) 12.0 (11.5-12.5) 15.7 (15.3-16.2) 20.1 (18.9-21.1) 24.8 (22.7-26.8)
Males 5.9 (5.2-6.7) 8.8 (8.2-9.4) 12.7 (12.2-13.2) 17.6 (16.3-18.9) 23.3 (20.7-25.8)
Females 11.9 (10.7-13.1) 15.1 (14.3-15.8) 18.7 (18.1-19.4) 22.8 (21.3-24.3) 27.0 (24.5-29.6)
White, non-Hispanic 8.2 (7.5-9.0) 11.2 (10.7-11.7) 14.9 (14.5-15.4) 19.3 (18.1-20.4) 24.0 (21.9-26.1)
Black, non-Hispanic 19.9 (16.5-23.4) 21.6 (19.6-23.5) 23.3 (22.1-24.6) 25.1 (22.5-27.9) 26.9 (22.3-31.8)
Hispanic 9.2 (5.6-13.6) 13.9 (11.0-17.0) 20.1 (18.0-22.3) 27.3 (22.1-32.9) 34.5 (25.2-44.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 7.8 (5.0-11.4) 8.9 (7.1-11.0) 10.3 (9.0-11.5) 11.8 (9.1-14.8) 13.5 (8.5-19.2)
Income: Less than $20k 13.1 (11.4-14.8) 17.2 (16.1-18.3) 22.0 (21.1-22.9) 27.1 (25.0-29.2) 32.3 (28.7-35.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.4 (7.4-9.4) 12.4 (11.7-13.0) 17.6 (16.9-18.2) 23.8 (22.1-25.3) 30.4 (27.4-33.2)
Income: $50k or more 6.1 (5.2-7.1) 9.0 (8.3-9.7) 12.9 (12.4-13.4) 17.8 (16.3-19.2) 23.4 (20.5-26.2)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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