Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 23.3 (22.6-24.0) 28.8 (28.4-29.3) 35.1 (34.7-35.5) 42.0 (41.2-42.7) 48.9 (47.7-50.1)
Males 21.2 (20.5-21.9) 26.8 (26.3-27.3) 33.3 (32.8-33.8) 40.6 (39.7-41.5) 48.2 (46.8-49.6)
Females 25.4 (24.6-26.3) 30.9 (30.3-31.4) 36.9 (36.5-37.4) 43.4 (42.5-44.3) 49.9 (48.5-51.4)
White, non-Hispanic 21.6 (21.0-22.3) 27.2 (26.8-27.7) 33.7 (33.3-34.1) 40.8 (40.0-41.6) 48.1 (46.8-49.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 36.1 (35.0-37.2) 41.1 (40.5-41.8) 46.4 (45.8-46.8) 51.7 (50.8-52.6) 56.9 (55.5-58.4)
Hispanic 26.8 (25.6-28.2) 32.7 (31.9-33.5) 39.1 (38.6-39.6) 45.8 (44.8-46.7) 52.4 (50.7-54.0)
Other, non-Hispanic 19.5 (18.3-20.7) 21.9 (21.2-22.5) 24.5 (24.1-25.0) 27.4 (26.5-28.4) 30.5 (28.8-32.2)
Income: Less than $20k 27.3 (26.5-28.1) 33.7 (33.2-34.2) 40.8 (40.3-41.2) 48.2 (47.5-49.0) 55.6 (54.4-56.8)
Income: $20k to $50k 23.4 (22.7-24.2) 30.1 (29.6-30.6) 37.8 (37.3-38.2) 46.1 (45.3-46.9) 54.4 (53.1-55.7)
Income: $50k or more 20.2 (19.3-21.0) 25.7 (25.1-26.3) 32.2 (31.8-32.7) 39.5 (38.7-40.3) 47.1 (45.8-48.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.4 (7.9-8.8) 11.4 (11.1-11.7) 15.1 (14.8-15.4) 19.4 (18.7-20.1) 24.2 (22.9-25.5)
Males 5.9 (5.5-6.3) 8.5 (8.2-8.8) 11.9 (11.6-12.2) 16.2 (15.4-16.9) 21.1 (19.6-22.6)
Females 10.9 (10.2-11.5) 14.3 (13.8-14.7) 18.3 (17.9-18.7) 22.8 (22.0-23.7) 27.6 (26.1-29.2)
White, non-Hispanic 7.5 (7.0-7.9) 10.4 (10.1-10.7) 14.1 (13.8-14.4) 18.5 (17.8-19.2) 23.4 (22.1-24.8)
Black, non-Hispanic 16.0 (15.0-16.8) 19.5 (18.9-20.0) 23.3 (22.9-23.8) 27.5 (26.4-28.4) 31.7 (29.9-33.4)
Hispanic 9.6 (8.9-10.4) 12.7 (12.1-13.2) 16.2 (15.8-16.6) 20.2 (19.3-21.2) 24.5 (22.8-26.2)
Other, non-Hispanic 7.0 (6.5-7.7) 8.4 (8.0-8.8) 9.9 (9.7-10.2) 11.7 (11.0-12.4) 13.7 (12.4-15.0)
Income: Less than $20k 11.5 (10.9-12.2) 15.6 (15.2-16.0) 20.5 (20.1-20.9) 26.0 (25.1-26.9) 31.7 (30.2-33.2)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.2 (7.8-8.7) 12.0 (11.6-12.3) 16.8 (16.4-17.2) 22.5 (21.6-23.3) 28.6 (27.1-30.0)
Income: $50k or more 6.1 (5.7-6.5) 8.7 (8.4-9.0) 12.2 (11.9-12.5) 16.6 (15.8-17.3) 21.5 (20.2-22.9)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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