Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 22.5 (21.4-23.7) 27.8 (27.1-28.5) 33.8 (33.3-34.4) 40.5 (39.3-41.8) 47.5 (45.5-49.5)
Males 19.6 (18.1-21.1) 25.3 (24.3-26.2) 32.1 (31.2-32.9) 39.8 (38.1-41.5) 47.9 (45.1-50.8)
Females 25.6 (24.1-27.2) 30.3 (29.4-31.2) 35.6 (34.9-36.3) 41.4 (39.9-42.9) 47.3 (44.7-49.8)
White, non-Hispanic 22.4 (21.2-23.7) 27.7 (26.9-28.4) 33.7 (33.1-34.4) 40.4 (39.1-41.6) 47.3 (45.2-49.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 30.2 (20.6-40.7) 35.0 (29.0-41.1) 40.5 (35.3-45.9) 46.3 (36.4-56.7) 51.8 (36.3-67.3)
Hispanic 21.8 (17.5-26.7) 28.6 (25.7-31.6) 36.8 (34.5-39.1) 45.9 (41.2-51.0) 55.2 (47.3-63.2)
Other, non-Hispanic 24.5 (20.3-29.4) 27.5 (25.0-30.0) 31.1 (29.2-32.9) 34.9 (30.7-38.7) 39.1 (31.9-45.6)
Income: Less than $20k 24.0 (22.0-26.1) 30.5 (29.2-31.8) 38.2 (36.9-39.4) 46.5 (43.9-48.9) 54.9 (50.8-58.6)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.1 (20.5-23.8) 28.8 (27.7-29.7) 36.7 (35.7-37.6) 45.4 (43.5-47.4) 54.1 (51.1-57.2)
Income: $50k or more 21.2 (19.3-23.5) 25.8 (24.6-27.1) 31.1 (30.2-31.9) 36.9 (35.0-38.8) 43.2 (39.7-46.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.1 (7.5-8.9) 11.1 (10.6-11.6) 14.8 (14.4-15.3) 19.2 (18.0-20.3) 24.1 (22.0-26.1)
Males 5.6 (4.8-6.4) 8.2 (7.7-8.8) 11.8 (11.3-12.4) 16.3 (14.8-17.8) 21.6 (18.7-24.5)
Females 10.8 (9.7-11.9) 14.0 (13.3-14.8) 17.9 (17.3-18.6) 22.3 (20.9-23.7) 27.1 (24.5-29.7)
White, non-Hispanic 8.1 (7.4-8.9) 11.1 (10.6-11.6) 14.7 (14.3-15.3) 19.1 (17.9-20.2) 23.9 (21.8-26.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 10.5 (5.8-16.6) 13.9 (10.4-17.9) 18.2 (14.5-22.3) 23.1 (15.7-31.4) 27.9 (15.9-41.3)
Hispanic 6.9 (4.6-9.9) 10.5 (8.6-12.4) 15.3 (13.7-17.0) 21.3 (16.8-26.1) 28.0 (19.7-36.8)
Other, non-Hispanic 9.4 (6.7-12.4) 11.7 (10.0-13.5) 14.5 (13.2-15.9) 17.8 (14.6-21.3) 21.5 (15.5-27.9)
Income: Less than $20k 9.5 (8.1-10.9) 13.8 (12.8-14.8) 19.4 (18.3-20.6) 26.0 (23.5-28.6) 33.0 (28.9-37.2)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.8 (6.9-8.8) 11.7 (11.0-12.4) 16.7 (16.0-17.4) 22.8 (21.1-24.5) 29.4 (26.4-32.3)
Income: $50k or more 6.7 (5.6-7.8) 9.0 (8.3-9.8) 12.0 (11.4-12.6) 15.6 (14.1-17.1) 19.8 (17.0-22.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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