Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 22.2 (21.0-23.5) 29.8 (29.0-30.6) 38.9 (38.3-39.5) 48.8 (47.5-49.9) 58.4 (56.4-60.2)
Males 19.3 (17.9-20.9) 27.3 (26.3-28.3) 37.2 (36.4-38.0) 48.4 (46.8-50.1) 59.5 (56.9-61.9)
Females 25.3 (23.6-27.0) 32.4 (31.4-33.3) 40.6 (40.0-41.3) 49.3 (47.7-50.8) 57.5 (54.9-59.8)
White, non-Hispanic 21.1 (19.9-22.4) 28.6 (27.8-29.4) 37.7 (37.1-38.3) 47.7 (46.4-49.0) 57.5 (55.4-59.5)
Black, non-Hispanic 27.8 (22.8-33.3) 35.6 (32.7-38.9) 44.4 (42.7-46.2) 53.4 (49.2-57.7) 61.7 (54.8-68.0)
Hispanic 26.9 (21.2-33.2) 33.4 (30.2-37.0) 41.0 (39.0-43.0) 49.0 (44.5-53.7) 56.9 (49.2-64.7)
Other, non-Hispanic 28.0 (24.2-32.2) 34.4 (32.2-36.7) 41.6 (40.3-42.8) 49.2 (45.9-52.4) 56.6 (51.2-62.0)
Income: Less than $20k 26.4 (23.8-28.9) 33.7 (32.1-35.0) 42.3 (41.2-43.3) 51.7 (49.4-53.9) 60.7 (57.2-64.0)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.0 (20.4-23.7) 30.5 (29.4-31.5) 40.9 (40.0-41.7) 52.3 (50.4-54.1) 62.9 (60.2-65.6)
Income: $50k or more 20.9 (18.8-23.0) 28.3 (26.9-29.7) 37.3 (36.5-38.1) 47.2 (45.3-49.2) 56.9 (53.6-60.2)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 7.7 (7.0-8.4) 12.0 (11.4-12.5) 17.7 (17.2-18.1) 24.5 (23.4-25.7) 31.7 (29.7-33.9)
Males 5.2 (4.5-6.0) 8.9 (8.2-9.5) 14.3 (13.7-14.8) 21.2 (19.8-22.8) 29.0 (26.1-32.0)
Females 10.2 (9.1-11.3) 15.0 (14.3-15.8) 21.1 (20.5-21.6) 28.0 (26.6-29.5) 34.9 (32.6-37.6)
White, non-Hispanic 7.0 (6.4-7.7) 11.2 (10.6-11.7) 16.8 (16.3-17.3) 23.7 (22.5-25.0) 31.1 (29.0-33.3)
Black, non-Hispanic 11.8 (8.6-15.5) 16.7 (14.4-19.1) 22.8 (21.4-24.2) 29.4 (25.5-33.5) 35.8 (28.7-42.8)
Hispanic 9.0 (6.1-12.6) 12.4 (10.4-14.8) 16.8 (15.3-18.5) 22.0 (18.1-26.2) 27.5 (20.0-35.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 11.1 (8.6-13.7) 15.1 (13.4-16.7) 20.0 (19.1-21.1) 25.6 (23.0-28.4) 31.5 (26.5-36.5)
Income: Less than $20k 9.8 (8.3-11.1) 15.4 (14.3-16.4) 22.8 (21.9-23.7) 31.4 (29.4-33.5) 40.1 (36.7-43.7)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.2 (6.2-8.1) 12.0 (11.3-12.8) 19.0 (18.3-19.6) 27.5 (25.7-29.2) 36.1 (33.1-39.0)
Income: $50k or more 6.1 (5.1-7.3) 9.8 (9.0-10.7) 15.0 (14.4-15.6) 21.5 (19.7-23.3) 28.5 (25.2-32.0)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

Read a summary

Read the abstract