Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22.2 (21.0-23.5) | 29.8 (29.0-30.6) | 38.9 (38.3-39.5) | 48.8 (47.5-49.9) | 58.4 (56.4-60.2) |
| Males | 19.3 (17.9-20.9) | 27.3 (26.3-28.3) | 37.2 (36.4-38.0) | 48.4 (46.8-50.1) | 59.5 (56.9-61.9) |
| Females | 25.3 (23.6-27.0) | 32.4 (31.4-33.3) | 40.6 (40.0-41.3) | 49.3 (47.7-50.8) | 57.5 (54.9-59.8) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 21.1 (19.9-22.4) | 28.6 (27.8-29.4) | 37.7 (37.1-38.3) | 47.7 (46.4-49.0) | 57.5 (55.4-59.5) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 27.8 (22.8-33.3) | 35.6 (32.7-38.9) | 44.4 (42.7-46.2) | 53.4 (49.2-57.7) | 61.7 (54.8-68.0) |
| Hispanic | 26.9 (21.2-33.2) | 33.4 (30.2-37.0) | 41.0 (39.0-43.0) | 49.0 (44.5-53.7) | 56.9 (49.2-64.7) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 28.0 (24.2-32.2) | 34.4 (32.2-36.7) | 41.6 (40.3-42.8) | 49.2 (45.9-52.4) | 56.6 (51.2-62.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 26.4 (23.8-28.9) | 33.7 (32.1-35.0) | 42.3 (41.2-43.3) | 51.7 (49.4-53.9) | 60.7 (57.2-64.0) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 22.0 (20.4-23.7) | 30.5 (29.4-31.5) | 40.9 (40.0-41.7) | 52.3 (50.4-54.1) | 62.9 (60.2-65.6) |
| Income: $50k or more | 20.9 (18.8-23.0) | 28.3 (26.9-29.7) | 37.3 (36.5-38.1) | 47.2 (45.3-49.2) | 56.9 (53.6-60.2) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7.7 (7.0-8.4) | 12.0 (11.4-12.5) | 17.7 (17.2-18.1) | 24.5 (23.4-25.7) | 31.7 (29.7-33.9) |
| Males | 5.2 (4.5-6.0) | 8.9 (8.2-9.5) | 14.3 (13.7-14.8) | 21.2 (19.8-22.8) | 29.0 (26.1-32.0) |
| Females | 10.2 (9.1-11.3) | 15.0 (14.3-15.8) | 21.1 (20.5-21.6) | 28.0 (26.6-29.5) | 34.9 (32.6-37.6) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 7.0 (6.4-7.7) | 11.2 (10.6-11.7) | 16.8 (16.3-17.3) | 23.7 (22.5-25.0) | 31.1 (29.0-33.3) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 11.8 (8.6-15.5) | 16.7 (14.4-19.1) | 22.8 (21.4-24.2) | 29.4 (25.5-33.5) | 35.8 (28.7-42.8) |
| Hispanic | 9.0 (6.1-12.6) | 12.4 (10.4-14.8) | 16.8 (15.3-18.5) | 22.0 (18.1-26.2) | 27.5 (20.0-35.5) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 11.1 (8.6-13.7) | 15.1 (13.4-16.7) | 20.0 (19.1-21.1) | 25.6 (23.0-28.4) | 31.5 (26.5-36.5) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 9.8 (8.3-11.1) | 15.4 (14.3-16.4) | 22.8 (21.9-23.7) | 31.4 (29.4-33.5) | 40.1 (36.7-43.7) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 7.2 (6.2-8.1) | 12.0 (11.3-12.8) | 19.0 (18.3-19.6) | 27.5 (25.7-29.2) | 36.1 (33.1-39.0) |
| Income: $50k or more | 6.1 (5.1-7.3) | 9.8 (9.0-10.7) | 15.0 (14.4-15.6) | 21.5 (19.7-23.3) | 28.5 (25.2-32.0) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301