Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 23.6 (22.3-25.1) 30.1 (29.2-30.9) 37.4 (36.8-38.0) 45.3 (44.0-46.5) 53.2 (51.0-55.3)
Males 21.7 (19.8-23.5) 28.1 (26.9-29.2) 35.6 (34.8-36.4) 43.9 (42.2-45.6) 52.4 (49.5-55.3)
Females 25.7 (23.9-27.5) 32.0 (30.9-33.2) 39.2 (38.5-39.9) 46.7 (45.1-48.4) 54.1 (51.3-56.9)
White, non-Hispanic 23.1 (21.8-24.6) 29.5 (28.6-30.4) 36.7 (36.1-37.3) 44.5 (43.2-45.9) 52.4 (50.2-54.7)
Black, non-Hispanic 34.5 (29.4-39.5) 40.3 (37.5-42.8) 46.4 (44.9-48.0) 52.7 (49.2-56.1) 58.7 (52.7-64.4)
Hispanic 22.3 (15.3-30.6) 28.6 (23.8-33.7) 36.3 (33.4-39.5) 45.0 (38.3-51.7) 53.4 (41.8-64.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 16.9 (11.1-23.7) 22.7 (18.6-27.2) 30.1 (28.1-32.2) 38.8 (33.0-44.4) 47.8 (37.0-57.7)
Income: Less than $20k 25.7 (23.0-28.6) 33.3 (31.7-35.0) 42.2 (41.0-43.3) 51.5 (49.0-54.0) 60.4 (56.5-64.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 25.1 (22.9-27.5) 31.9 (30.5-33.3) 39.7 (38.8-40.5) 48.1 (46.3-50.0) 56.5 (53.4-59.4)
Income: $50k or more 19.7 (17.7-22.0) 26.7 (25.4-28.2) 35.2 (34.4-36.0) 44.5 (42.7-46.4) 53.8 (50.5-57.1)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 9.0 (8.1-9.9) 12.4 (11.8-13.0) 16.7 (16.2-17.1) 21.6 (20.5-22.7) 26.8 (24.8-28.8)
Males 6.5 (5.5-7.5) 9.5 (8.7-10.3) 13.5 (12.9-14.1) 18.3 (16.9-19.8) 23.8 (21.1-26.6)
Females 11.5 (10.2-13.0) 15.3 (14.4-16.2) 19.8 (19.3-20.5) 24.9 (23.4-26.4) 30.0 (27.2-32.7)
White, non-Hispanic 8.6 (7.7-9.6) 11.9 (11.3-12.6) 16.0 (15.6-16.5) 20.8 (19.7-21.9) 25.9 (23.8-28.1)
Black, non-Hispanic 15.4 (12.6-19.0) 19.1 (17.2-21.3) 23.2 (21.9-24.5) 27.6 (24.9-30.5) 31.9 (27.1-37.2)
Hispanic 7.7 (3.8-12.7) 11.6 (8.2-15.2) 16.9 (14.7-19.1) 23.5 (17.8-29.6) 30.3 (19.6-41.2)
Other, non-Hispanic 8.8 (4.8-14.5) 11.4 (8.5-14.7) 14.6 (12.9-16.3) 18.2 (13.5-22.9) 21.8 (12.7-30.7)
Income: Less than $20k 10.8 (9.2-12.6) 16.0 (14.8-17.2) 22.5 (21.5-23.5) 29.9 (27.6-32.1) 37.4 (33.3-41.0)
Income: $20k to $50k 9.2 (8.0-10.6) 13.2 (12.3-14.2) 18.3 (17.7-19.0) 24.3 (22.6-25.9) 30.6 (27.4-33.5)
Income: $50k or more 6.3 (5.2-7.6) 9.4 (8.6-10.4) 13.6 (13.1-14.2) 18.7 (17.3-20.3) 24.3 (21.2-27.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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