Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 22.8 (21.4-24.2) 29.4 (28.5-30.2) 37.1 (36.4-37.8) 45.4 (44.0-46.9) 53.9 (51.6-56.1)
Males 22.4 (20.6-24.1) 29.3 (28.2-30.4) 37.6 (36.8-38.5) 47.0 (45.0-48.8) 56.5 (53.4-59.4)
Females 23.4 (21.7-25.1) 29.4 (28.4-30.6) 36.4 (35.5-37.2) 43.9 (42.1-45.6) 51.3 (48.5-54.0)
White, non-Hispanic 22.3 (21.0-23.6) 28.9 (28.0-29.8) 36.6 (36.0-37.3) 45.1 (43.6-46.6) 53.6 (51.3-55.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 26.2 (11.5-45.7) 26.3 (16.8-37.8) 27.2 (21.2-33.6) 28.9 (19.0-40.6) 31.2 (14.5-51.6)
Hispanic 18.4 (11.5-26.4) 27.5 (22.1-32.9) 39.7 (34.8-44.2) 52.9 (43.2-62.5) 64.5 (50.4-76.6)
Other, non-Hispanic 39.7 (32.3-47.4) 42.0 (37.8-46.1) 44.5 (42.1-47.2) 47.2 (41.8-52.4) 49.9 (41.1-58.9)
Income: Less than $20k 24.6 (22.2-27.2) 31.3 (29.8-32.9) 39.5 (38.0-41.0) 48.5 (45.3-51.6) 57.4 (52.7-61.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 23.1 (21.2-24.9) 30.3 (29.1-31.5) 39.0 (38.0-40.1) 48.5 (46.4-50.6) 58.0 (54.5-61.2)
Income: $50k or more 20.5 (18.4-22.8) 27.7 (26.2-29.0) 36.3 (35.4-37.2) 45.9 (43.9-48.0) 55.5 (52.2-59.0)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 7.4 (6.7-8.2) 10.9 (10.4-11.4) 15.4 (14.9-15.9) 20.9 (19.7-22.1) 26.9 (24.7-29.0)
Males 5.6 (4.8-6.5) 8.9 (8.3-9.6) 13.6 (13.0-14.2) 19.7 (18.0-21.3) 26.6 (23.4-29.6)
Females 9.4 (8.2-10.7) 13.0 (12.2-13.9) 17.4 (16.8-18.1) 22.5 (20.8-24.1) 27.9 (24.9-30.7)
White, non-Hispanic 7.1 (6.4-7.9) 10.5 (9.9-11.0) 14.8 (14.3-15.3) 20.1 (18.9-21.4) 25.9 (23.7-28.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 12.6 (2.7-27.7) 12.6 (5.6-21.3) 13.0 (8.9-17.7) 13.8 (7.1-22.9) 15.0 (4.4-33.1)
Hispanic 10.2 (5.1-16.3) 15.3 (11.0-19.7) 21.9 (18.1-25.6) 28.8 (21.1-37.2) 34.8 (21.9-48.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 16.7 (11.2-22.3) 19.7 (16.3-23.0) 23.1 (20.9-25.2) 26.7 (22.1-31.3) 30.3 (22.0-39.0)
Income: Less than $20k 8.5 (7.0-10.2) 13.3 (12.2-14.5) 19.7 (18.5-21.0) 27.5 (24.5-30.4) 35.6 (30.7-40.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.5 (6.5-8.6) 11.6 (10.8-12.3) 17.0 (16.2-17.8) 23.7 (21.7-25.8) 30.9 (27.5-34.5)
Income: $50k or more 5.6 (4.5-6.7) 8.8 (8.0-9.7) 13.4 (12.8-14.1) 19.3 (17.6-21.2) 25.9 (22.4-29.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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