Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 25.3 (24.0-26.5) 30.8 (30.1-31.5) 37.0 (36.5-37.6) 43.6 (42.5-44.8) 50.3 (48.3-52.2)
Males 22.8 (21.3-24.4) 28.1 (27.1-29.0) 34.0 (33.4-34.8) 40.6 (39.1-42.1) 47.3 (44.8-49.9)
Females 27.7 (26.1-29.3) 33.6 (32.6-34.5) 40.0 (39.4-40.7) 46.8 (45.2-48.2) 53.4 (50.8-55.7)
White, non-Hispanic 22.6 (21.3-23.9) 28.1 (27.3-28.9) 34.3 (33.7-34.9) 41.1 (39.8-42.5) 48.0 (45.8-50.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 38.8 (35.8-41.8) 43.9 (42.2-45.4) 49.2 (48.2-50.2) 54.5 (52.4-56.9) 59.7 (56.2-63.4)
Hispanic 21.5 (16.1-27.6) 27.5 (24.0-31.1) 34.8 (33.1-36.5) 43.0 (38.6-47.5) 51.1 (43.2-58.8)
Other, non-Hispanic 21.7 (17.1-27.3) 25.9 (22.9-29.0) 30.7 (28.9-32.4) 36.1 (31.7-40.7) 41.8 (33.6-49.8)
Income: Less than $20k 28.6 (26.4-30.9) 35.2 (33.9-36.6) 42.5 (41.5-43.5) 49.9 (47.8-51.9) 57.0 (53.7-60.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 25.1 (23.2-27.0) 32.1 (31.0-33.2) 40.0 (39.2-40.8) 48.4 (46.7-50.1) 56.5 (53.9-59.4)
Income: $50k or more 23.2 (21.0-25.4) 28.2 (26.9-29.5) 34.0 (33.2-34.7) 40.3 (38.7-42.2) 47.0 (44.1-50.3)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 9.5 (8.7-10.4) 12.7 (12.2-13.3) 16.6 (16.1-17.1) 21.0 (19.8-22.0) 25.7 (23.6-27.5)
Males 6.6 (5.7-7.7) 9.2 (8.5-9.9) 12.5 (12.0-13.0) 16.5 (15.1-17.8) 21.0 (18.3-23.6)
Females 12.4 (11.3-13.8) 16.2 (15.5-17.1) 20.7 (20.1-21.3) 25.6 (24.1-26.9) 30.6 (28.0-33.0)
White, non-Hispanic 8.0 (7.2-8.8) 10.9 (10.3-11.4) 14.5 (14.1-15.0) 18.8 (17.6-19.9) 23.5 (21.4-25.6)
Black, non-Hispanic 17.6 (15.4-19.7) 21.4 (20.1-22.6) 25.6 (24.7-26.5) 29.9 (27.7-32.1) 34.3 (30.4-38.0)
Hispanic 6.2 (3.9-9.1) 9.5 (7.5-11.4) 14.1 (12.8-15.5) 19.9 (16.2-23.8) 26.3 (19.1-33.9)
Other, non-Hispanic 8.6 (5.5-12.5) 10.9 (8.8-13.4) 13.7 (12.5-15.1) 17.0 (14.0-20.7) 20.7 (14.8-28.0)
Income: Less than $20k 13.0 (11.3-14.7) 17.3 (16.2-18.4) 22.3 (21.5-23.2) 27.8 (25.8-29.7) 33.2 (29.6-36.7)
Income: $20k to $50k 9.3 (8.2-10.4) 13.4 (12.6-14.1) 18.5 (17.9-19.2) 24.5 (23.0-26.2) 30.6 (27.9-33.6)
Income: $50k or more 6.9 (5.9-8.1) 9.6 (8.9-10.4) 13.1 (12.5-13.6) 17.2 (15.8-18.7) 22.0 (19.2-25.0)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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