Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 23.4 (22.2-24.7) 27.7 (26.9-28.4) 32.4 (31.9-32.9) 37.5 (36.4-38.6) 42.8 (41.0-44.8)
Males 20.9 (19.3-22.5) 25.3 (24.3-26.3) 30.4 (29.6-31.1) 36.0 (34.6-37.5) 42.0 (39.5-44.7)
Females 25.9 (24.4-27.6) 30.0 (29.0-30.9) 34.4 (33.8-35.0) 39.1 (37.7-40.5) 43.9 (41.4-46.3)
White, non-Hispanic 21.5 (20.1-22.9) 26.1 (25.2-26.9) 31.3 (30.7-31.8) 37.0 (35.8-38.2) 43.0 (41.0-45.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 35.6 (31.8-39.2) 38.4 (36.4-40.4) 41.3 (40.1-42.6) 44.3 (41.5-47.0) 47.2 (42.5-52.1)
Hispanic 25.4 (22.4-28.9) 30.6 (28.7-32.6) 36.3 (35.1-37.6) 42.4 (39.7-45.1) 48.4 (43.7-52.8)
Other, non-Hispanic 17.9 (14.3-21.6) 19.1 (17.0-21.2) 20.5 (19.1-21.8) 22.0 (19.2-25.0) 23.7 (18.9-29.2)
Income: Less than $20k 27.2 (24.7-29.8) 32.7 (31.2-34.2) 38.6 (37.5-39.7) 44.8 (42.4-47.1) 51.0 (47.1-54.8)
Income: $20k to $50k 25.4 (23.4-27.4) 29.9 (28.7-31.1) 35.0 (34.1-35.8) 40.5 (38.7-42.3) 46.1 (43.0-49.3)
Income: $50k or more 19.2 (17.3-20.9) 23.8 (22.6-24.9) 29.1 (28.5-29.8) 35.1 (33.7-36.7) 41.6 (39.0-44.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.4 (7.7-9.2) 10.7 (10.2-11.2) 13.4 (13.0-13.8) 16.4 (15.5-17.4) 19.8 (18.2-21.6)
Males 5.6 (4.9-6.4) 7.7 (7.1-8.2) 10.3 (9.9-10.8) 13.6 (12.5-14.9) 17.5 (15.2-19.9)
Females 11.2 (10.0-12.5) 13.6 (12.9-14.4) 16.3 (15.8-16.8) 19.3 (18.1-20.5) 22.5 (20.4-24.8)
White, non-Hispanic 7.4 (6.6-8.1) 9.7 (9.2-10.3) 12.7 (12.3-13.1) 16.1 (15.1-17.1) 20.0 (18.2-21.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 16.1 (13.7-18.9) 17.9 (16.5-19.3) 19.7 (18.7-20.7) 21.6 (19.4-23.9) 23.5 (19.8-27.8)
Hispanic 8.6 (6.7-10.7) 11.2 (9.9-12.6) 14.4 (13.5-15.3) 18.1 (15.9-20.2) 22.0 (18.0-26.2)
Other, non-Hispanic 5.9 (4.0-8.1) 6.5 (5.4-7.7) 7.2 (6.4-8.0) 8.0 (6.3-10.1) 8.9 (5.9-12.9)
Income: Less than $20k 11.7 (10.1-13.4) 14.5 (13.6-15.6) 17.8 (17.0-18.6) 21.3 (19.4-23.2) 25.0 (21.8-28.3)
Income: $20k to $50k 9.1 (7.9-10.4) 11.9 (11.1-12.8) 15.3 (14.7-16.0) 19.2 (17.7-20.8) 23.5 (20.7-26.3)
Income: $50k or more 5.9 (5.1-6.9) 8.1 (7.5-8.7) 10.8 (10.3-11.3) 14.1 (13.0-15.2) 17.9 (15.8-20.2)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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