Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 23.4 (22.2-24.7) | 27.7 (26.9-28.4) | 32.4 (31.9-32.9) | 37.5 (36.4-38.6) | 42.8 (41.0-44.8) |
Males | 20.9 (19.3-22.5) | 25.3 (24.3-26.3) | 30.4 (29.6-31.1) | 36.0 (34.6-37.5) | 42.0 (39.5-44.7) |
Females | 25.9 (24.4-27.6) | 30.0 (29.0-30.9) | 34.4 (33.8-35.0) | 39.1 (37.7-40.5) | 43.9 (41.4-46.3) |
White, non-Hispanic | 21.5 (20.1-22.9) | 26.1 (25.2-26.9) | 31.3 (30.7-31.8) | 37.0 (35.8-38.2) | 43.0 (41.0-45.0) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 35.6 (31.8-39.2) | 38.4 (36.4-40.4) | 41.3 (40.1-42.6) | 44.3 (41.5-47.0) | 47.2 (42.5-52.1) |
Hispanic | 25.4 (22.4-28.9) | 30.6 (28.7-32.6) | 36.3 (35.1-37.6) | 42.4 (39.7-45.1) | 48.4 (43.7-52.8) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 17.9 (14.3-21.6) | 19.1 (17.0-21.2) | 20.5 (19.1-21.8) | 22.0 (19.2-25.0) | 23.7 (18.9-29.2) |
Income: Less than $20k | 27.2 (24.7-29.8) | 32.7 (31.2-34.2) | 38.6 (37.5-39.7) | 44.8 (42.4-47.1) | 51.0 (47.1-54.8) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 25.4 (23.4-27.4) | 29.9 (28.7-31.1) | 35.0 (34.1-35.8) | 40.5 (38.7-42.3) | 46.1 (43.0-49.3) |
Income: $50k or more | 19.2 (17.3-20.9) | 23.8 (22.6-24.9) | 29.1 (28.5-29.8) | 35.1 (33.7-36.7) | 41.6 (39.0-44.4) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overall | 8.4 (7.7-9.2) | 10.7 (10.2-11.2) | 13.4 (13.0-13.8) | 16.4 (15.5-17.4) | 19.8 (18.2-21.6) |
Males | 5.6 (4.9-6.4) | 7.7 (7.1-8.2) | 10.3 (9.9-10.8) | 13.6 (12.5-14.9) | 17.5 (15.2-19.9) |
Females | 11.2 (10.0-12.5) | 13.6 (12.9-14.4) | 16.3 (15.8-16.8) | 19.3 (18.1-20.5) | 22.5 (20.4-24.8) |
White, non-Hispanic | 7.4 (6.6-8.1) | 9.7 (9.2-10.3) | 12.7 (12.3-13.1) | 16.1 (15.1-17.1) | 20.0 (18.2-21.9) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 16.1 (13.7-18.9) | 17.9 (16.5-19.3) | 19.7 (18.7-20.7) | 21.6 (19.4-23.9) | 23.5 (19.8-27.8) |
Hispanic | 8.6 (6.7-10.7) | 11.2 (9.9-12.6) | 14.4 (13.5-15.3) | 18.1 (15.9-20.2) | 22.0 (18.0-26.2) |
Other, non-Hispanic | 5.9 (4.0-8.1) | 6.5 (5.4-7.7) | 7.2 (6.4-8.0) | 8.0 (6.3-10.1) | 8.9 (5.9-12.9) |
Income: Less than $20k | 11.7 (10.1-13.4) | 14.5 (13.6-15.6) | 17.8 (17.0-18.6) | 21.3 (19.4-23.2) | 25.0 (21.8-28.3) |
Income: $20k to $50k | 9.1 (7.9-10.4) | 11.9 (11.1-12.8) | 15.3 (14.7-16.0) | 19.2 (17.7-20.8) | 23.5 (20.7-26.3) |
Income: $50k or more | 5.9 (5.1-6.9) | 8.1 (7.5-8.7) | 10.8 (10.3-11.3) | 14.1 (13.0-15.2) | 17.9 (15.8-20.2) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301