Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 19.5 (18.2-20.8) 26.1 (25.3-26.9) 34.0 (33.4-34.6) 42.8 (41.5-44.1) 51.8 (49.5-54.1)
Males 17.4 (15.8-19.1) 23.5 (22.4-24.6) 31.1 (30.4-32.0) 40.1 (38.1-42.0) 49.5 (46.0-52.6)
Females 21.6 (20.1-23.4) 28.6 (27.6-29.7) 36.9 (36.1-37.6) 45.8 (44.1-47.4) 54.6 (51.8-57.3)
White, non-Hispanic 16.3 (14.8-17.7) 21.8 (21.0-22.7) 28.8 (28.1-29.4) 36.8 (35.2-38.3) 45.2 (42.5-48.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 33.7 (23.2-45.9) 36.6 (30.8-42.9) 40.2 (36.1-44.2) 44.5 (35.5-53.3) 48.9 (33.6-63.0)
Hispanic 24.1 (22.1-26.5) 30.8 (29.5-32.1) 38.4 (37.5-39.3) 46.6 (44.5-48.5) 54.8 (51.2-57.9)
Other, non-Hispanic 26.0 (21.9-30.8) 32.2 (29.6-35.0) 39.5 (37.9-41.0) 47.4 (43.8-50.9) 55.3 (49.1-61.3)
Income: Less than $20k 22.3 (20.1-24.7) 29.9 (28.6-31.3) 39.0 (37.9-40.1) 48.6 (46.2-50.9) 57.8 (53.9-61.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 19.2 (17.4-21.1) 26.6 (25.4-27.7) 35.6 (34.7-36.5) 45.6 (43.7-47.5) 55.5 (52.5-58.7)
Income: $50k or more 17.0 (15.2-19.1) 23.2 (21.9-24.5) 30.9 (30.2-31.8) 39.8 (37.8-41.9) 49.0 (45.5-52.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.4 (5.7-7.1) 9.6 (9.0-10.1) 13.8 (13.4-14.2) 19.0 (17.9-20.2) 24.8 (22.6-27.0)
Males 4.2 (3.4-5.0) 6.9 (6.2-7.5) 10.8 (10.3-11.4) 16.2 (14.7-17.8) 22.7 (19.6-26.0)
Females 8.6 (7.6-9.7) 12.2 (11.5-13.0) 16.8 (16.2-17.4) 22.0 (20.6-23.6) 27.5 (24.9-30.3)
White, non-Hispanic 5.2 (4.5-5.9) 7.7 (7.2-8.3) 11.3 (10.8-11.7) 15.7 (14.5-17.0) 20.9 (18.4-23.5)
Black, non-Hispanic 12.3 (6.4-20.4) 16.1 (12.0-21.0) 20.8 (17.5-24.3) 26.2 (18.5-34.1) 31.6 (18.0-45.4)
Hispanic 8.3 (7.0-9.5) 11.6 (10.7-12.4) 15.7 (15.0-16.4) 20.6 (19.0-22.2) 25.8 (22.9-28.9)
Other, non-Hispanic 8.3 (5.8-11.2) 11.9 (10.1-14.0) 16.7 (15.6-17.8) 22.5 (19.3-25.9) 28.7 (22.5-35.1)
Income: Less than $20k 8.4 (7.0-9.7) 12.4 (11.4-13.4) 17.5 (16.7-18.3) 23.4 (21.5-25.5) 29.5 (26.0-33.2)
Income: $20k to $50k 6.1 (5.3-7.1) 9.6 (8.9-10.3) 14.3 (13.6-15.0) 20.1 (18.5-21.7) 26.5 (23.4-29.4)
Income: $50k or more 5.0 (4.2-6.0) 7.8 (7.1-8.6) 11.6 (11.1-12.2) 16.6 (15.0-18.3) 22.4 (19.1-25.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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