Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 20.9 (19.6-22.2) 26.3 (25.5-27.1) 32.6 (32.0-33.1) 39.5 (38.2-40.6) 46.6 (44.4-48.6)
Males 18.8 (17.2-20.5) 24.8 (23.7-25.9) 32.1 (31.3-32.8) 40.1 (38.4-41.8) 48.6 (45.6-51.6)
Females 23.0 (21.3-24.8) 27.7 (26.7-28.7) 33.1 (32.4-33.7) 38.9 (37.3-40.4) 44.8 (42.0-47.4)
White, non-Hispanic 19.4 (18.1-20.8) 25.0 (24.1-25.8) 31.5 (30.9-32.1) 38.8 (37.3-40.3) 46.5 (43.9-48.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 36.5 (32.0-41.2) 40.8 (38.4-43.2) 45.3 (44.1-46.6) 49.8 (46.7-53.1) 54.3 (48.6-59.9)
Hispanic 20.5 (17.4-23.8) 27.6 (25.7-29.8) 36.2 (35.0-37.5) 45.5 (42.6-48.4) 54.3 (49.4-59.2)
Other, non-Hispanic 13.5 (9.5-19.0) 15.3 (12.8-18.1) 17.5 (16.4-18.8) 20.3 (17.1-23.6) 23.5 (17.5-30.3)
Income: Less than $20k 30.7 (26.7-34.9) 34.9 (32.7-37.0) 39.5 (38.3-40.8) 44.4 (41.2-47.5) 49.3 (43.9-54.7)
Income: $20k to $50k 21.2 (19.2-23.5) 28.2 (27.0-29.6) 36.6 (35.7-37.5) 45.6 (43.6-47.7) 54.6 (51.1-58.0)
Income: $50k or more 17.4 (15.8-19.2) 23.2 (22.1-24.3) 30.2 (29.5-30.9) 38.3 (36.6-40.0) 46.8 (43.8-49.8)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.8 (6.1-7.5) 9.5 (9.0-10.0) 12.9 (12.5-13.3) 17.1 (16.1-18.0) 21.7 (19.8-23.5)
Males 5.0 (4.2-5.9) 7.5 (6.8-8.1) 10.8 (10.4-11.3) 15.0 (13.6-16.4) 19.9 (17.2-22.7)
Females 8.6 (7.6-9.6) 11.5 (10.8-12.1) 15.1 (14.5-15.6) 19.2 (18.0-20.6) 23.8 (21.4-26.2)
White, non-Hispanic 6.1 (5.4-6.8) 8.7 (8.2-9.2) 12.1 (11.7-12.5) 16.3 (15.2-17.4) 21.0 (18.8-23.3)
Black, non-Hispanic 15.6 (12.3-19.4) 18.3 (16.5-20.4) 21.3 (20.2-22.4) 24.4 (21.6-27.3) 27.6 (22.2-32.9)
Hispanic 6.2 (4.8-7.9) 9.6 (8.5-10.9) 14.4 (13.5-15.2) 20.2 (17.8-22.6) 26.4 (21.7-31.0)
Other, non-Hispanic 3.0 (2.0-4.2) 4.1 (3.3-4.9) 5.6 (5.0-6.2) 7.6 (6.0-9.4) 10.0 (6.8-14.0)
Income: Less than $20k 11.3 (9.1-13.8) 14.5 (13.1-15.9) 18.3 (17.3-19.3) 22.5 (20.1-25.0) 27.0 (22.4-31.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.6 (6.4-8.8) 11.1 (10.2-11.9) 15.6 (15.0-16.3) 21.0 (19.2-22.7) 26.7 (23.4-29.8)
Income: $50k or more 4.8 (4.1-5.6) 7.4 (6.8-8.0) 11.0 (10.5-11.5) 15.7 (14.4-17.0) 21.1 (18.7-23.9)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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