Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 20.0 (18.7-21.3) 25.9 (25.0-26.7) 32.9 (32.3-33.5) 40.8 (39.5-42.1) 48.8 (46.6-51.1)
Males 19.1 (17.3-20.9) 25.5 (24.3-26.5) 33.1 (32.2-33.9) 41.7 (39.8-43.4) 50.5 (47.3-53.5)
Females 20.9 (19.1-22.7) 26.3 (25.2-27.4) 32.7 (32.0-33.5) 39.9 (38.2-41.6) 47.1 (44.1-50.0)
White, non-Hispanic 19.8 (18.5-21.1) 25.9 (25.0-26.7) 33.1 (32.5-33.8) 41.3 (40.0-42.6) 49.6 (47.3-51.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 25.6 (11.4-44.2) 29.7 (21.1-39.9) 35.6 (29.6-41.7) 42.2 (29.3-55.4) 48.0 (27.2-67.6)
Hispanic 23.3 (15.7-31.9) 27.6 (22.8-32.8) 32.6 (28.4-36.5) 38.3 (29.7-46.9) 44.1 (30.7-58.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 21.0 (14.1-28.9) 23.6 (19.5-28.1) 26.7 (24.4-29.1) 29.9 (24.0-36.1) 33.1 (22.7-44.4)
Income: Less than $20k 22.0 (19.3-24.8) 29.5 (27.8-31.3) 38.6 (37.1-40.1) 48.4 (45.3-51.5) 57.8 (52.9-62.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 20.1 (18.3-22.1) 27.2 (26.1-28.5) 36.0 (35.1-37.0) 45.8 (43.7-47.9) 55.5 (52.1-58.7)
Income: $50k or more 19.1 (17.1-21.2) 24.7 (23.4-26.0) 31.4 (30.6-32.2) 39.1 (37.2-40.8) 47.1 (43.6-50.3)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.4 (5.7-7.1) 9.4 (8.9-10.0) 13.5 (13.1-13.9) 18.5 (17.3-19.7) 24.1 (21.9-26.5)
Males 5.0 (4.2-6.0) 7.7 (7.0-8.4) 11.5 (10.9-12.0) 16.3 (14.8-17.9) 21.9 (18.8-25.2)
Females 7.8 (6.7-8.9) 11.2 (10.4-11.9) 15.6 (14.9-16.2) 20.8 (19.3-22.4) 26.6 (23.7-29.6)
White, non-Hispanic 6.3 (5.6-7.0) 9.4 (8.9-9.9) 13.6 (13.1-14.0) 18.8 (17.5-20.0) 24.6 (22.3-27.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 7.3 (1.8-17.2) 10.7 (5.6-17.2) 16.0 (11.8-20.4) 22.4 (12.4-34.5) 28.5 (11.4-48.3)
Hispanic 9.3 (4.5-15.7) 11.4 (8.0-15.2) 14.1 (11.2-17.1) 17.3 (11.1-24.4) 20.7 (10.4-33.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 7.9 (3.9-13.9) 9.2 (6.5-12.7) 10.7 (9.1-12.5) 12.5 (8.6-16.8) 14.3 (7.4-23.2)
Income: Less than $20k 8.6 (7.0-10.6) 13.2 (11.9-14.6) 19.3 (18.1-20.6) 26.5 (23.4-29.3) 33.7 (28.4-38.7)
Income: $20k to $50k 6.5 (5.5-7.5) 10.4 (9.6-11.2) 16.0 (15.3-16.8) 23.0 (21.1-25.0) 30.5 (26.9-34.0)
Income: $50k or more 5.2 (4.3-6.2) 7.8 (7.1-8.6) 11.4 (10.9-11.9) 16.0 (14.4-17.5) 21.3 (18.1-24.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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