Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20.0 (18.7-21.3) | 25.9 (25.0-26.7) | 32.9 (32.3-33.5) | 40.8 (39.5-42.1) | 48.8 (46.6-51.1) |
| Males | 19.1 (17.3-20.9) | 25.5 (24.3-26.5) | 33.1 (32.2-33.9) | 41.7 (39.8-43.4) | 50.5 (47.3-53.5) |
| Females | 20.9 (19.1-22.7) | 26.3 (25.2-27.4) | 32.7 (32.0-33.5) | 39.9 (38.2-41.6) | 47.1 (44.1-50.0) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 19.8 (18.5-21.1) | 25.9 (25.0-26.7) | 33.1 (32.5-33.8) | 41.3 (40.0-42.6) | 49.6 (47.3-51.9) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 25.6 (11.4-44.2) | 29.7 (21.1-39.9) | 35.6 (29.6-41.7) | 42.2 (29.3-55.4) | 48.0 (27.2-67.6) |
| Hispanic | 23.3 (15.7-31.9) | 27.6 (22.8-32.8) | 32.6 (28.4-36.5) | 38.3 (29.7-46.9) | 44.1 (30.7-58.5) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 21.0 (14.1-28.9) | 23.6 (19.5-28.1) | 26.7 (24.4-29.1) | 29.9 (24.0-36.1) | 33.1 (22.7-44.4) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 22.0 (19.3-24.8) | 29.5 (27.8-31.3) | 38.6 (37.1-40.1) | 48.4 (45.3-51.5) | 57.8 (52.9-62.5) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 20.1 (18.3-22.1) | 27.2 (26.1-28.5) | 36.0 (35.1-37.0) | 45.8 (43.7-47.9) | 55.5 (52.1-58.7) |
| Income: $50k or more | 19.1 (17.1-21.2) | 24.7 (23.4-26.0) | 31.4 (30.6-32.2) | 39.1 (37.2-40.8) | 47.1 (43.6-50.3) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6.4 (5.7-7.1) | 9.4 (8.9-10.0) | 13.5 (13.1-13.9) | 18.5 (17.3-19.7) | 24.1 (21.9-26.5) |
| Males | 5.0 (4.2-6.0) | 7.7 (7.0-8.4) | 11.5 (10.9-12.0) | 16.3 (14.8-17.9) | 21.9 (18.8-25.2) |
| Females | 7.8 (6.7-8.9) | 11.2 (10.4-11.9) | 15.6 (14.9-16.2) | 20.8 (19.3-22.4) | 26.6 (23.7-29.6) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 6.3 (5.6-7.0) | 9.4 (8.9-9.9) | 13.6 (13.1-14.0) | 18.8 (17.5-20.0) | 24.6 (22.3-27.0) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 7.3 (1.8-17.2) | 10.7 (5.6-17.2) | 16.0 (11.8-20.4) | 22.4 (12.4-34.5) | 28.5 (11.4-48.3) |
| Hispanic | 9.3 (4.5-15.7) | 11.4 (8.0-15.2) | 14.1 (11.2-17.1) | 17.3 (11.1-24.4) | 20.7 (10.4-33.4) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 7.9 (3.9-13.9) | 9.2 (6.5-12.7) | 10.7 (9.1-12.5) | 12.5 (8.6-16.8) | 14.3 (7.4-23.2) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 8.6 (7.0-10.6) | 13.2 (11.9-14.6) | 19.3 (18.1-20.6) | 26.5 (23.4-29.3) | 33.7 (28.4-38.7) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 6.5 (5.5-7.5) | 10.4 (9.6-11.2) | 16.0 (15.3-16.8) | 23.0 (21.1-25.0) | 30.5 (26.9-34.0) |
| Income: $50k or more | 5.2 (4.3-6.2) | 7.8 (7.1-8.6) | 11.4 (10.9-11.9) | 16.0 (14.4-17.5) | 21.3 (18.1-24.4) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301