Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 21.6 (19.9-23.3) 26.7 (25.7-27.7) 32.6 (31.8-33.3) 38.9 (37.3-40.6) 45.5 (42.7-48.3)
Males 21.2 (19.1-23.4) 26.3 (25.0-27.6) 32.2 (31.1-33.3) 38.6 (36.4-40.9) 45.3 (41.5-49.0)
Females 22.1 (19.9-24.3) 27.2 (25.8-28.6) 33.0 (32.0-34.0) 39.3 (37.1-41.5) 45.8 (42.1-49.6)
White, non-Hispanic 21.1 (19.4-22.8) 26.1 (25.1-27.2) 31.9 (31.0-32.6) 38.2 (36.5-40.0) 44.8 (42.0-47.8)
Black, non-Hispanic 24.9 (18.2-31.7) 31.4 (27.1-35.8) 39.3 (36.6-42.3) 48.0 (41.9-54.6) 56.6 (46.2-66.6)
Hispanic 23.3 (18.7-28.1) 29.2 (26.4-32.1) 35.6 (33.8-37.5) 42.2 (38.5-46.3) 48.4 (42.0-55.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 24.9 (19.5-30.7) 26.0 (23.1-28.9) 27.1 (24.9-29.3) 28.3 (23.7-33.3) 29.6 (22.0-38.2)
Income: Less than $20k 25.4 (21.8-29.6) 30.0 (27.9-32.3) 35.4 (33.5-37.4) 41.2 (37.2-45.1) 47.1 (40.4-53.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 20.6 (18.5-22.8) 27.0 (25.6-28.4) 34.4 (33.0-35.7) 42.3 (39.6-45.0) 50.2 (45.7-54.5)
Income: $50k or more 21.9 (19.3-24.7) 26.4 (24.7-28.0) 31.3 (30.3-32.4) 36.7 (34.3-39.2) 42.4 (38.2-46.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 7.4 (6.5-8.4) 9.9 (9.3-10.6) 13.0 (12.4-13.6) 16.6 (15.2-18.0) 20.6 (18.1-23.4)
Males 5.8 (4.7-7.0) 8.0 (7.2-8.8) 10.8 (10.1-11.5) 14.2 (12.4-16.3) 18.1 (14.7-22.1)
Females 9.3 (8.0-10.8) 12.1 (11.2-13.1) 15.4 (14.6-16.2) 19.3 (17.4-21.1) 23.4 (20.0-26.8)
White, non-Hispanic 7.2 (6.2-8.2) 9.6 (9.0-10.3) 12.7 (12.1-13.3) 16.3 (14.9-17.9) 20.4 (17.7-23.3)
Black, non-Hispanic 8.1 (4.7-12.7) 12.0 (9.3-15.1) 17.3 (15.2-19.6) 23.8 (18.6-30.0) 30.7 (21.1-40.7)
Hispanic 8.6 (6.0-11.6) 11.0 (9.2-12.8) 13.8 (12.6-15.1) 16.8 (13.7-20.3) 19.8 (14.0-26.5)
Other, non-Hispanic 9.2 (6.1-12.9) 10.0 (8.3-11.9) 10.9 (9.4-12.4) 11.9 (8.8-15.4) 13.0 (8.0-19.4)
Income: Less than $20k 9.1 (6.9-11.5) 12.3 (10.8-13.9) 16.4 (14.9-17.8) 21.1 (17.9-24.4) 26.2 (20.5-32.1)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.6 (6.2-9.1) 10.4 (9.5-11.4) 13.9 (12.9-14.9) 17.9 (15.9-20.2) 22.1 (18.5-26.0)
Income: $50k or more 7.2 (5.7-8.8) 9.1 (8.2-10.1) 11.5 (10.8-12.3) 14.3 (12.4-16.3) 17.3 (13.9-21.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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