Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 23.5 (22.3-24.8) 29.5 (28.7-30.3) 36.4 (35.8-36.9) 43.8 (42.7-45.0) 51.3 (49.3-53.3)
Males 22.4 (20.8-24.3) 28.6 (27.5-29.7) 35.6 (34.9-36.3) 43.2 (41.7-44.8) 51.0 (48.3-53.7)
Females 24.6 (22.9-26.2) 30.4 (29.4-31.5) 37.2 (36.5-37.8) 44.4 (42.9-45.8) 51.7 (49.2-54.1)
White, non-Hispanic 23.3 (22.0-24.6) 29.2 (28.3-30.0) 36.0 (35.5-36.6) 43.4 (42.2-44.5) 50.8 (48.9-52.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 33.2 (26.3-41.0) 38.5 (34.4-42.9) 44.5 (41.9-47.1) 50.8 (45.4-55.9) 57.0 (47.7-65.4)
Hispanic 29.6 (23.4-36.0) 33.7 (30.1-37.3) 38.3 (36.5-40.0) 42.9 (39.0-46.9) 47.6 (40.3-54.8)
Other, non-Hispanic 16.7 (11.9-22.5) 24.4 (20.7-28.4) 34.4 (32.2-36.8) 45.7 (40.5-50.9) 56.4 (47.4-65.2)
Income: Less than $20k 26.5 (24.0-28.9) 32.6 (31.1-34.1) 39.5 (38.5-40.6) 46.8 (44.7-48.9) 54.1 (50.5-57.6)
Income: $20k to $50k 23.8 (22.0-25.5) 30.8 (29.7-31.9) 39.0 (38.2-39.7) 47.8 (46.2-49.5) 56.5 (53.8-59.2)
Income: $50k or more 20.9 (19.0-23.0) 27.2 (25.9-28.6) 34.6 (33.9-35.4) 42.9 (41.2-44.6) 51.4 (48.4-54.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.2 (7.5-9.0) 11.4 (10.9-11.9) 15.5 (15.0-15.9) 20.2 (19.2-21.3) 25.4 (23.4-27.4)
Males 6.4 (5.5-7.4) 9.1 (8.4-9.8) 12.6 (12.1-13.1) 16.8 (15.4-18.1) 21.5 (18.9-24.1)
Females 9.9 (8.9-11.1) 13.7 (13.0-14.5) 18.5 (17.8-19.0) 23.9 (22.5-25.3) 29.6 (27.0-32.2)
White, non-Hispanic 8.0 (7.3-8.9) 11.2 (10.7-11.7) 15.2 (14.7-15.6) 19.8 (18.8-20.9) 24.8 (22.9-26.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 12.9 (8.9-17.5) 17.5 (14.6-20.7) 22.9 (20.6-25.1) 29.0 (24.5-33.4) 35.2 (27.5-43.0)
Hispanic 10.3 (7.3-14.3) 12.8 (10.7-15.3) 15.7 (14.5-17.0) 19.0 (16.0-22.4) 22.5 (16.7-28.6)
Other, non-Hispanic 8.0 (4.6-12.4) 11.5 (8.7-14.5) 16.1 (14.2-17.9) 21.3 (17.3-25.7) 26.2 (18.7-35.2)
Income: Less than $20k 10.6 (9.2-12.3) 14.8 (13.7-15.9) 19.9 (19.1-20.8) 25.8 (23.8-27.7) 31.9 (28.3-35.3)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.1 (7.2-9.1) 12.1 (11.4-12.8) 17.3 (16.7-17.9) 23.5 (22.1-25.1) 30.0 (27.5-32.7)
Income: $50k or more 6.2 (5.2-7.3) 9.2 (8.4-9.9) 13.1 (12.6-13.6) 18.0 (16.6-19.5) 23.5 (20.7-26.5)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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