Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 20.7 (19.2-22.0) 25.5 (24.6-26.3) 31.1 (30.6-31.8) 37.5 (36.1-38.8) 44.2 (41.8-46.6)
Males 19.2 (17.4-21.1) 24.2 (23.1-25.3) 30.2 (29.4-31.0) 37.0 (35.3-38.9) 44.5 (41.4-47.6)
Females 22.2 (20.3-24.1) 26.8 (25.7-28.0) 32.2 (31.4-32.9) 38.1 (36.4-39.9) 44.3 (41.3-47.5)
White, non-Hispanic 20.2 (18.8-21.5) 24.8 (23.9-25.6) 30.2 (29.6-30.8) 36.2 (34.9-37.7) 42.7 (40.4-45.1)
Black, non-Hispanic 31.9 (4.9-68.1) 30.0 (11.6-51.1) 30.9 (21.7-40.6) 36.8 (16.6-60.8) 42.4 (11.5-75.7)
Hispanic 21.6 (14.5-30.2) 27.1 (22.6-32.5) 33.8 (30.5-37.3) 41.3 (33.9-48.4) 48.9 (36.4-60.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 30.9 (25.7-36.4) 36.2 (33.2-39.3) 42.1 (40.4-43.7) 48.1 (43.9-52.1) 54.1 (47.0-60.8)
Income: Less than $20k 21.8 (19.4-24.4) 28.0 (26.5-29.6) 35.2 (34.1-36.4) 43.0 (40.5-45.7) 51.0 (46.7-55.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 20.1 (18.3-22.2) 25.7 (24.5-26.9) 32.6 (31.8-33.4) 40.8 (38.8-42.6) 49.4 (46.0-52.6)
Income: $50k or more 19.5 (16.6-22.4) 23.8 (22.0-25.5) 28.9 (28.0-29.7) 34.8 (32.7-37.1) 41.2 (36.9-45.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 6.3 (5.7-7.1) 9.0 (8.5-9.5) 12.4 (11.9-12.8) 16.6 (15.4-17.7) 21.4 (19.3-23.5)
Males 4.3 (3.6-5.2) 6.6 (6.0-7.3) 9.9 (9.4-10.4) 14.3 (12.9-15.8) 19.6 (16.7-22.6)
Females 8.4 (7.3-9.7) 11.3 (10.6-12.2) 14.9 (14.3-15.5) 19.2 (17.7-20.7) 23.9 (21.2-26.8)
White, non-Hispanic 6.0 (5.3-6.8) 8.4 (8.0-9.0) 11.7 (11.2-12.1) 15.7 (14.6-16.7) 20.3 (18.1-22.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 6.1 (0.1-23.7) 8.2 (1.1-19.3) 13.5 (7.9-20.3) 22.4 (6.3-44.0) 29.4 (3.8-57.9)
Hispanic 9.0 (5.2-14.3) 11.7 (8.9-15.1) 15.1 (12.8-17.6) 19.0 (13.8-24.9) 23.1 (13.8-33.6)
Other, non-Hispanic 13.1 (9.5-17.4) 16.3 (14.0-18.6) 19.9 (18.6-21.2) 23.9 (20.5-27.6) 28.0 (21.9-35.0)
Income: Less than $20k 9.5 (8.0-11.4) 12.8 (11.8-14.0) 16.8 (16.0-17.7) 21.4 (19.3-23.5) 26.2 (22.4-30.0)
Income: $20k to $50k 5.1 (4.3-6.0) 8.4 (7.7-9.2) 13.3 (12.7-13.9) 19.8 (18.1-21.6) 27.4 (24.2-30.9)
Income: $50k or more 4.7 (3.5-6.1) 6.8 (5.9-7.7) 9.7 (9.1-10.2) 13.5 (11.8-15.4) 18.1 (14.4-22.2)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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