Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20.7 (19.2-22.0) | 25.5 (24.6-26.3) | 31.1 (30.6-31.8) | 37.5 (36.1-38.8) | 44.2 (41.8-46.6) |
| Males | 19.2 (17.4-21.1) | 24.2 (23.1-25.3) | 30.2 (29.4-31.0) | 37.0 (35.3-38.9) | 44.5 (41.4-47.6) |
| Females | 22.2 (20.3-24.1) | 26.8 (25.7-28.0) | 32.2 (31.4-32.9) | 38.1 (36.4-39.9) | 44.3 (41.3-47.5) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 20.2 (18.8-21.5) | 24.8 (23.9-25.6) | 30.2 (29.6-30.8) | 36.2 (34.9-37.7) | 42.7 (40.4-45.1) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 31.9 (4.9-68.1) | 30.0 (11.6-51.1) | 30.9 (21.7-40.6) | 36.8 (16.6-60.8) | 42.4 (11.5-75.7) |
| Hispanic | 21.6 (14.5-30.2) | 27.1 (22.6-32.5) | 33.8 (30.5-37.3) | 41.3 (33.9-48.4) | 48.9 (36.4-60.4) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 30.9 (25.7-36.4) | 36.2 (33.2-39.3) | 42.1 (40.4-43.7) | 48.1 (43.9-52.1) | 54.1 (47.0-60.8) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 21.8 (19.4-24.4) | 28.0 (26.5-29.6) | 35.2 (34.1-36.4) | 43.0 (40.5-45.7) | 51.0 (46.7-55.5) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 20.1 (18.3-22.2) | 25.7 (24.5-26.9) | 32.6 (31.8-33.4) | 40.8 (38.8-42.6) | 49.4 (46.0-52.6) |
| Income: $50k or more | 19.5 (16.6-22.4) | 23.8 (22.0-25.5) | 28.9 (28.0-29.7) | 34.8 (32.7-37.1) | 41.2 (36.9-45.7) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6.3 (5.7-7.1) | 9.0 (8.5-9.5) | 12.4 (11.9-12.8) | 16.6 (15.4-17.7) | 21.4 (19.3-23.5) |
| Males | 4.3 (3.6-5.2) | 6.6 (6.0-7.3) | 9.9 (9.4-10.4) | 14.3 (12.9-15.8) | 19.6 (16.7-22.6) |
| Females | 8.4 (7.3-9.7) | 11.3 (10.6-12.2) | 14.9 (14.3-15.5) | 19.2 (17.7-20.7) | 23.9 (21.2-26.8) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 6.0 (5.3-6.8) | 8.4 (8.0-9.0) | 11.7 (11.2-12.1) | 15.7 (14.6-16.7) | 20.3 (18.1-22.4) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 6.1 (0.1-23.7) | 8.2 (1.1-19.3) | 13.5 (7.9-20.3) | 22.4 (6.3-44.0) | 29.4 (3.8-57.9) |
| Hispanic | 9.0 (5.2-14.3) | 11.7 (8.9-15.1) | 15.1 (12.8-17.6) | 19.0 (13.8-24.9) | 23.1 (13.8-33.6) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 13.1 (9.5-17.4) | 16.3 (14.0-18.6) | 19.9 (18.6-21.2) | 23.9 (20.5-27.6) | 28.0 (21.9-35.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 9.5 (8.0-11.4) | 12.8 (11.8-14.0) | 16.8 (16.0-17.7) | 21.4 (19.3-23.5) | 26.2 (22.4-30.0) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 5.1 (4.3-6.0) | 8.4 (7.7-9.2) | 13.3 (12.7-13.9) | 19.8 (18.1-21.6) | 27.4 (24.2-30.9) |
| Income: $50k or more | 4.7 (3.5-6.1) | 6.8 (5.9-7.7) | 9.7 (9.1-10.2) | 13.5 (11.8-15.4) | 18.1 (14.4-22.2) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301