Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 24.5 (23.1-25.8) 30.5 (29.7-31.3) 37.4 (36.7-38.1) 44.9 (43.5-46.3) 52.4 (50.2-54.6)
Males 23.2 (21.6-25.1) 29.1 (28.0-30.2) 35.9 (35.0-36.8) 43.3 (41.4-45.2) 51.0 (47.8-54.1)
Females 25.7 (24.0-27.5) 31.9 (30.8-32.9) 38.9 (38.1-39.8) 46.4 (44.7-48.2) 53.9 (51.0-56.5)
White, non-Hispanic 23.8 (22.4-25.2) 29.7 (28.8-30.6) 36.5 (35.8-37.2) 43.9 (42.5-45.4) 51.4 (49.1-53.7)
Black, non-Hispanic 33.7 (28.8-38.9) 40.0 (37.0-43.0) 46.8 (44.8-48.7) 53.8 (49.7-57.5) 60.5 (53.9-66.4)
Hispanic 27.1 (17.6-38.3) 31.5 (25.8-37.3) 37.1 (33.6-40.7) 43.5 (35.4-51.8) 50.0 (36.5-64.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 23.0 (17.1-29.8) 28.3 (24.6-32.1) 34.4 (32.0-36.9) 41.1 (35.4-47.1) 47.9 (38.0-58.1)
Income: Less than $20k 28.2 (25.5-30.8) 34.4 (32.9-35.9) 41.5 (40.1-42.8) 48.9 (45.9-51.5) 56.3 (51.8-60.2)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.7 (20.9-24.6) 30.4 (29.3-31.6) 39.7 (38.7-40.6) 49.7 (47.7-51.8) 59.4 (56.3-62.6)
Income: $50k or more 24.2 (21.7-27.0) 29.4 (27.9-31.1) 35.5 (34.5-36.5) 42.3 (40.0-44.5) 49.2 (45.5-52.9)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.9 (8.0-9.7) 12.5 (11.9-13.1) 17.1 (16.6-17.6) 22.5 (21.3-23.7) 28.3 (26.1-30.5)
Males 6.7 (5.7-7.7) 9.8 (9.0-10.5) 13.8 (13.1-14.4) 18.8 (17.3-20.4) 24.4 (21.5-27.5)
Females 11.0 (9.8-12.2) 15.2 (14.4-16.0) 20.4 (19.7-21.1) 26.3 (24.7-27.8) 32.4 (29.6-35.1)
White, non-Hispanic 8.4 (7.6-9.3) 11.9 (11.3-12.5) 16.3 (15.8-16.9) 21.5 (20.3-22.8) 27.2 (25.0-29.4)
Black, non-Hispanic 14.7 (11.3-18.3) 19.4 (17.2-21.8) 24.8 (23.1-26.4) 30.6 (27.3-34.0) 36.4 (30.7-42.0)
Hispanic 8.9 (4.8-14.1) 12.4 (9.4-15.7) 17.1 (14.6-19.8) 22.8 (16.3-29.9) 28.8 (17.6-41.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 9.9 (6.4-13.9) 12.3 (9.9-14.8) 15.2 (13.5-17.0) 18.5 (14.5-22.7) 21.9 (14.8-29.9)
Income: Less than $20k 12.2 (10.3-14.1) 16.9 (15.6-18.1) 22.6 (21.5-23.7) 29.0 (26.6-31.6) 35.6 (31.5-39.7)
Income: $20k to $50k 8.0 (6.9-9.1) 12.5 (11.7-13.4) 18.7 (17.9-19.4) 26.0 (24.2-27.9) 33.7 (30.6-36.8)
Income: $50k or more 6.8 (5.5-8.3) 10.0 (9.0-11.0) 14.3 (13.6-15.0) 19.6 (17.7-21.7) 25.6 (21.9-29.6)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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