Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 28.1 (26.6-29.5) 34.9 (34.1-35.7) 42.6 (41.9-43.2) 50.5 (49.2-51.7) 58.2 (56.0-60.2)
Males 24.6 (22.6-26.6) 31.0 (29.8-32.3) 38.4 (37.5-39.3) 46.4 (44.3-48.1) 54.3 (51.1-57.2)
Females 31.4 (29.5-33.2) 38.6 (37.6-39.7) 46.6 (45.8-47.3) 54.6 (52.9-56.2) 62.0 (59.3-64.6)
White, non-Hispanic 22.6 (21.1-24.1) 29.7 (28.8-30.6) 38.0 (37.3-38.7) 47.0 (45.5-48.7) 56.0 (53.5-58.5)
Black, non-Hispanic 41.5 (38.5-44.5) 46.6 (45.0-48.2) 51.8 (50.8-52.7) 57.0 (54.8-59.2) 61.9 (58.4-65.4)
Hispanic 23.2 (15.5-31.9) 28.4 (23.5-33.3) 34.6 (30.1-39.3) 41.2 (31.9-51.1) 47.2 (32.8-62.7)
Other, non-Hispanic 25.2 (16.2-36.6) 30.3 (24.9-36.5) 36.4 (33.0-39.7) 43.1 (34.3-51.6) 49.4 (34.8-63.6)
Income: Less than $20k 32.9 (30.4-35.5) 40.0 (38.6-41.4) 47.9 (46.9-48.9) 55.9 (53.9-58.0) 63.4 (60.1-66.5)
Income: $20k to $50k 26.6 (24.5-28.8) 34.6 (33.3-35.8) 43.8 (42.8-44.7) 53.3 (51.2-55.4) 62.3 (59.1-65.3)
Income: $50k or more 22.2 (19.7-24.8) 30.0 (28.5-31.6) 39.3 (38.3-40.3) 49.3 (46.8-51.5) 58.8 (55.0-62.6)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 11.3 (10.4-12.3) 15.5 (14.9-16.1) 20.5 (19.9-21.0) 26.0 (24.7-27.3) 31.7 (29.5-33.9)
Males 7.9 (6.8-9.2) 11.0 (10.3-11.9) 15.0 (14.3-15.6) 19.6 (17.8-21.3) 24.6 (21.4-28.0)
Females 14.5 (13.1-16.0) 19.7 (18.8-20.6) 25.8 (25.1-26.5) 32.2 (30.6-33.8) 38.6 (35.9-41.2)
White, non-Hispanic 7.9 (7.1-8.7) 11.7 (11.1-12.3) 16.6 (16.1-17.2) 22.5 (21.1-23.9) 28.8 (26.2-31.3)
Black, non-Hispanic 19.9 (17.7-22.4) 23.9 (22.6-25.3) 28.1 (27.2-29.1) 32.5 (30.4-34.7) 36.9 (33.3-40.6)
Hispanic 7.1 (3.5-12.3) 10.0 (7.2-13.1) 14.1 (11.1-17.2) 19.0 (11.6-27.4) 24.1 (11.4-38.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 12.9 (6.6-22.3) 14.6 (10.6-19.2) 16.4 (14.1-19.0) 18.3 (11.9-25.4) 20.0 (9.5-32.6)
Income: Less than $20k 14.4 (12.7-16.3) 20.3 (19.1-21.5) 27.3 (26.4-28.3) 34.9 (32.6-37.1) 42.3 (38.4-45.9)
Income: $20k to $50k 9.9 (8.7-11.2) 14.8 (13.9-15.7) 21.0 (20.1-21.7) 28.0 (26.1-29.9) 35.1 (31.8-38.3)
Income: $50k or more 7.4 (6.0-8.9) 11.0 (10.0-12.1) 15.8 (15.0-16.5) 21.4 (19.4-23.4) 27.3 (23.3-31.1)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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