Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 22.6 (21.5-23.7) 27.7 (27.0-28.4) 33.4 (32.9-34.0) 39.7 (38.6-40.8) 46.1 (44.3-48.0)
Males 20.9 (19.6-22.4) 26.5 (25.6-27.5) 33.1 (32.4-33.8) 40.5 (39.1-41.8) 48.2 (46.0-50.4)
Females 24.4 (23.0-25.8) 28.9 (28.0-29.8) 33.8 (33.1-34.5) 39.0 (37.6-40.3) 44.3 (41.9-46.6)
White, non-Hispanic 22.5 (21.4-23.6) 27.7 (26.9-28.4) 33.5 (32.9-34.1) 39.8 (38.7-40.9) 46.3 (44.5-48.2)
Black, non-Hispanic 29.7 (23.4-36.4) 33.2 (29.5-37.2) 37.0 (34.7-39.2) 41.0 (36.8-45.3) 45.1 (37.6-52.8)
Hispanic 17.8 (12.5-23.3) 26.2 (21.9-30.3) 36.9 (34.2-39.4) 48.5 (43.8-53.2) 59.0 (51.5-66.3)
Other, non-Hispanic 23.8 (18.5-29.6) 25.7 (22.4-29.2) 28.0 (25.9-30.3) 30.7 (27.0-34.5) 33.6 (27.1-40.6)
Income: Less than $20k 25.6 (23.5-27.7) 30.9 (29.6-32.3) 37.1 (35.8-38.4) 43.8 (41.6-46.2) 50.8 (47.4-54.6)
Income: $20k to $50k 22.2 (20.9-23.7) 28.9 (28.0-29.8) 36.6 (35.8-37.4) 45.0 (43.4-46.5) 53.4 (50.9-55.8)
Income: $50k or more 21.4 (19.8-23.0) 26.3 (25.3-27.3) 31.8 (31.2-32.5) 37.9 (36.6-39.3) 44.3 (42.0-46.7)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 8.1 (7.4-8.8) 10.5 (10.0-11.0) 13.4 (13.0-13.8) 16.8 (15.8-17.6) 20.4 (18.7-22.2)
Males 5.6 (4.8-6.4) 8.0 (7.5-8.6) 11.3 (10.8-11.7) 15.3 (14.1-16.5) 20.0 (17.7-22.3)
Females 10.6 (9.7-11.7) 13.0 (12.3-13.6) 15.6 (15.1-16.2) 18.5 (17.4-19.7) 21.6 (19.5-23.6)
White, non-Hispanic 8.0 (7.3-8.7) 10.4 (9.9-10.9) 13.3 (12.9-13.7) 16.6 (15.7-17.6) 20.3 (18.5-22.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 15.1 (10.4-20.4) 16.7 (13.7-19.8) 18.5 (16.6-20.3) 20.3 (16.8-23.8) 22.1 (16.0-28.8)
Hispanic 7.0 (4.0-11.0) 10.5 (7.8-13.6) 15.0 (13.0-17.0) 20.2 (16.4-24.5) 25.3 (18.1-33.1)
Other, non-Hispanic 7.1 (4.5-10.1) 8.7 (6.8-10.6) 10.7 (9.3-11.9) 13.0 (10.1-15.9) 15.7 (10.3-21.3)
Income: Less than $20k 9.8 (8.3-11.3) 13.5 (12.4-14.6) 18.1 (17.0-19.1) 23.5 (21.4-25.7) 29.4 (25.9-33.0)
Income: $20k to $50k 7.9 (7.1-8.8) 11.2 (10.6-11.9) 15.4 (14.8-16.0) 20.3 (19.0-21.7) 25.6 (23.2-28.0)
Income: $50k or more 6.9 (6.0-7.8) 9.0 (8.4-9.7) 11.6 (11.2-12.1) 14.7 (13.6-15.8) 18.1 (16.0-20.4)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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