Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 25.9 (24.8-27.2) 31.7 (30.9-32.4) 38.1 (37.6-38.7) 45.0 (44.0-46.0) 51.9 (50.2-53.7)
Males 23.6 (22.0-25.2) 29.4 (28.3-30.4) 36.1 (35.4-36.8) 43.5 (42.0-44.9) 51.2 (48.8-53.6)
Females 28.2 (26.7-29.9) 33.9 (33.0-34.9) 40.2 (39.5-40.8) 46.7 (45.2-47.9) 53.0 (50.8-55.2)
White, non-Hispanic 24.7 (23.4-26.0) 30.4 (29.6-31.2) 36.9 (36.3-37.4) 43.9 (42.7-45.0) 51.1 (49.1-52.9)
Black, non-Hispanic 39.4 (35.9-43.0) 43.3 (41.4-45.3) 47.4 (46.1-48.6) 51.5 (48.8-54.3) 55.6 (51.2-60.2)
Hispanic 23.4 (17.8-29.1) 32.2 (28.4-36.0) 42.8 (40.0-45.3) 53.7 (48.3-58.9) 63.8 (55.7-71.4)
Other, non-Hispanic 24.1 (19.5-29.1) 27.6 (24.9-30.3) 31.6 (29.7-33.4) 36.0 (32.2-40.1) 40.7 (33.8-47.7)
Income: Less than $20k 29.9 (27.6-32.3) 36.1 (34.8-37.6) 42.9 (41.8-44.0) 49.9 (47.7-52.1) 56.8 (53.1-60.3)
Income: $20k to $50k 27.3 (25.4-29.1) 33.8 (32.7-34.9) 41.3 (40.5-42.1) 49.3 (47.7-50.8) 57.1 (54.6-59.5)
Income: $50k or more 22.2 (20.4-24.1) 28.3 (27.2-29.5) 35.5 (34.8-36.2) 43.4 (41.9-44.9) 51.5 (48.8-54.2)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 

Severe Obesity Prevalence

Group 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Overall 9.8 (9.0-10.6) 13.2 (12.7-13.7) 17.4 (16.9-17.8) 22.1 (21.2-23.2) 27.2 (25.5-29.1)
Males 6.6 (5.7-7.5) 9.7 (9.0-10.3) 13.7 (13.2-14.2) 18.7 (17.4-20.0) 24.4 (21.9-26.9)
Females 13.0 (11.7-14.2) 16.7 (15.9-17.5) 21.1 (20.5-21.6) 25.8 (24.5-27.2) 30.7 (28.3-33.1)
White, non-Hispanic 8.6 (7.8-9.4) 12.0 (11.5-12.6) 16.3 (15.9-16.8) 21.4 (20.3-22.5) 26.9 (24.9-29.0)
Black, non-Hispanic 20.8 (17.9-23.5) 22.5 (20.9-24.0) 24.1 (23.0-25.2) 25.8 (23.6-28.1) 27.3 (23.7-31.4)
Hispanic 10.1 (6.7-14.1) 14.5 (11.8-17.2) 20.0 (18.0-22.2) 26.0 (21.4-30.8) 31.7 (23.6-39.9)
Other, non-Hispanic 10.1 (7.3-13.8) 12.7 (10.8-14.8) 15.7 (14.4-17.0) 19.1 (16.0-22.4) 22.9 (17.0-29.2)
Income: Less than $20k 14.7 (12.9-16.5) 18.7 (17.6-19.7) 23.2 (22.3-24.1) 28.1 (26.1-30.1) 32.9 (29.5-36.4)
Income: $20k to $50k 9.7 (8.6-10.9) 14.0 (13.3-14.8) 19.5 (18.9-20.2) 25.9 (24.5-27.4) 32.6 (30.1-35.3)
Income: $50k or more 6.8 (5.9-7.8) 10.0 (9.3-10.8) 14.3 (13.8-14.9) 19.6 (18.2-21.0) 25.5 (22.9-28.3)
NOTES:

• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)

• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 30

• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than 35

 


All tables and charts based on data from: 

Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301

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